Skip to main content
icon for Chi annuncerà la corsa presidenziale prima del 2028?
Politica·Presidente

Chi annuncerà la corsa presidenziale prima del 2028?

icon for Chi annuncerà la corsa presidenziale prima del 2028?
Politica·Presidente

Chi annuncerà la corsa presidenziale prima del 2028?

NUOVO
31 dic 2026
Polymarket

$9,746 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Pete Buttigieg

Pete Buttigieg

$20 Vol.

83%

icon for Ted Cruz

Ted Cruz

$580 Vol.

78%

icon for Andy Beshear

Andy Beshear

$20 Vol.

78%

icon for Ron DeSantis

Ron DeSantis

$40 Vol.

77%

icon for Rahm Emanuel

Rahm Emanuel

$60 Vol.

74%

icon for Kamala Harris

Kamala Harris

$233 Vol.

72%

icon for Gavin Newsom

Gavin Newsom

$1,257 Vol.

71%

icon for J.D. Vance

J.D. Vance

$0 Vol.

71%

icon for Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$389 Vol.

70%

icon for Cory Booker

Cory Booker

$40 Vol.

68%

icon for J.B. Pritzker

J.B. Pritzker

$45 Vol.

67%

icon for Josh Shapiro

Josh Shapiro

$60 Vol.

66%

icon for Jon Ossoff

Jon Ossoff

$112 Vol.

66%

icon for Marco Rubio

Marco Rubio

$60 Vol.

64%

icon for Mark Kelly

Mark Kelly

$60 Vol.

62%

icon for Wes Moore

Wes Moore

$60 Vol.

58%

icon for Gretchen Whitmer

Gretchen Whitmer

$40 Vol.

39%

icon for Glenn Youngkin

Glenn Youngkin

$0 Vol.

39%

icon for Josh Hawley

Josh Hawley

$245 Vol.

37%

icon for Rand Paul

Rand Paul

$101 Vol.

36%

icon for Jared Polis

Jared Polis

$40 Vol.

34%

icon for Brian Kemp

Brian Kemp

$0 Vol.

33%

icon for Raphael Warnock

Raphael Warnock

$40 Vol.

33%

icon for Vivek Ramaswamy

Vivek Ramaswamy

$60 Vol.

32%

icon for Marjorie Taylor Greene

Marjorie Taylor Greene

$112 Vol.

29%

icon for Sarah Huckabee Sanders

Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$0 Vol.

27%

icon for Greg Abbott

Greg Abbott

$0 Vol.

25%

icon for Kristi Noem

Kristi Noem

$0 Vol.

24%

icon for Tucker Carlson

Tucker Carlson

$458 Vol.

24%

icon for Nikki Haley

Nikki Haley

$20 Vol.

24%

icon for John Fetterman

John Fetterman

$0 Vol.

22%

icon for Stephen A. Smith

Stephen A. Smith

$550 Vol.

21%

icon for Phil Murphy

Phil Murphy

$463 Vol.

20%

icon for Steve Bannon

Steve Bannon

$659 Vol.

20%

icon for Tulsi Gabbard

Tulsi Gabbard

$229 Vol.

19%

icon for Donald Trump Jr.

Donald Trump Jr.

$40 Vol.

19%

icon for Katie Britt

Katie Britt

$0 Vol.

19%

icon for Roy Cooper

Roy Cooper

$0 Vol.

19%

icon for Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$260 Vol.

18%

icon for Gina Raimondo

Gina Raimondo

$764 Vol.

18%

icon for Byron Donalds

Byron Donalds

$0 Vol.

18%

icon for Elise Stefanik

Elise Stefanik

$0 Vol.

18%

icon for Andrew Yang

Andrew Yang

$0 Vol.

16%

icon for Hunter Biden

Hunter Biden

$1,034 Vol.

16%

icon for Erika Kirk

Erika Kirk

$736 Vol.

14%

icon for Mark Cuban

Mark Cuban

$71 Vol.

12%

icon for Tim Walz

Tim Walz

$460 Vol.

12%

icon for Beto O’Rourke

Beto O’Rourke

$0 Vol.

11%

icon for Jon Stewart

Jon Stewart

$60 Vol.

10%

icon for John Thune

John Thune

$140 Vol.

9%

icon for Oprah Winfrey

Oprah Winfrey

$0 Vol.

9%

icon for Donald Trump

Donald Trump

$0 Vol.

9%

icon for Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$0 Vol.

8%

icon for Mike Pence

Mike Pence

$0 Vol.

8%

icon for Don Lemon

Don Lemon

$0 Vol.

8%

icon for Liz Cheney

Liz Cheney

$197 Vol.

8%

icon for Bernie Sanders

Bernie Sanders

$21 Vol.

8%

icon for MrBeast

MrBeast

$0 Vol.

8%

icon for Elon Musk

Elon Musk

$0 Vol.

7%

icon for Zohran Mamdani

Zohran Mamdani

$21 Vol.

7%

icon for Kim Kardashian

Kim Kardashian

$0 Vol.

7%

icon for Candace Owens

Candace Owens

$0 Vol.

7%

icon for Matt Gaetz

Matt Gaetz

$0 Vol.

7%

icon for Tom Brady

Tom Brady

$0 Vol.

7%

icon for Hillary Clinton

Hillary Clinton

$25 Vol.

7%

icon for Michelle Obama

Michelle Obama

$0 Vol.

7%

icon for Ivanka Trump

Ivanka Trump

$0 Vol.

6%

icon for LeBron James

LeBron James

$0 Vol.

6%

icon for George Clooney

George Clooney

$0 Vol.

5%

icon for Barack Obama

Barack Obama

$0 Vol.

5%

icon for Chelsea Clinton

Chelsea Clinton

$21 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Potential 2028 presidential contenders from both parties are engaging in early positioning and testing waters through polling, national visibility efforts, and exploratory activities, though no major-party candidates have made formal announcements as of early August 2026. Speculation centers on figures such as JD Vance, Marco Rubio, Gavin Newsom, Pete Buttigieg, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, and Kamala Harris, with recent polls showing fragmented support and ongoing jockeying ahead of the 2026 midterms. A handful of lesser-known or third-party individuals have filed with the FEC or formed exploratory committees in recent months, but activity remains limited. Analysts anticipate a wave of announcements after the midterms, likely stretching into 2027, as candidates assess the field, fundraising, and primary dynamics before committing.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,746
Data di fine
31 dic 2027
Mercato aperto
Aug 4, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Potential 2028 presidential contenders from both parties are engaging in early positioning and testing waters through polling, national visibility efforts, and exploratory activities, though no major-party candidates have made formal announcements as of early August 2026. Speculation centers on figures such as JD Vance, Marco Rubio, Gavin Newsom, Pete Buttigieg, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, and Kamala Harris, with recent polls showing fragmented support and ongoing jockeying ahead of the 2026 midterms. A handful of lesser-known or third-party individuals have filed with the FEC or formed exploratory committees in recent months, but activity remains limited. Analysts anticipate a wave of announcements after the midterms, likely stretching into 2027, as candidates assess the field, fundraising, and primary dynamics before committing.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,746
Data di fine
31 dic 2027
Mercato aperto
Aug 4, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Correlati

icon for Kamala Harris annuncerà una candidatura presidenziale prima del 2027?

Kamala Harris annuncerà una candidatura presidenziale prima del 2027?

11%
Sì
icon for Elon Musk annuncerà la candidatura presidenziale prima del 2027?

Elon Musk annuncerà la candidatura presidenziale prima del 2027?

4%
Sì
icon for Gavin Newsom annuncerà una candidatura presidenziale entro il 31 dicembre 2026?

Gavin Newsom annuncerà una candidatura presidenziale entro il 31 dicembre 2026?

10%
Sì

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Chi annuncerà la corsa presidenziale prima del 2028?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 71+ possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Pete Buttigieg" a 83%, seguito da "Ted Cruz" a 79%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 83¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 83% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Chi annuncerà la corsa presidenziale prima del 2028?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 4, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Chi annuncerà la corsa presidenziale prima del 2028?", esplora i 71+ esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Chi annuncerà la corsa presidenziale prima del 2028?" è "Pete Buttigieg" a 83%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 83% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Ted Cruz" a 79%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Chi annuncerà la corsa presidenziale prima del 2028?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.