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icon for Chi annuncerà la corsa presidenziale prima del 2028?

Chi annuncerà la corsa presidenziale prima del 2028?

icon for Chi annuncerà la corsa presidenziale prima del 2028?

Chi annuncerà la corsa presidenziale prima del 2028?

$82,589 Vol.

30 dic 2026
Polymarket

$82,589 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for J.D. Vance

J.D. Vance

$1,835 Vol.

90%

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Pete Buttigieg

$545 Vol.

85%

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Rahm Emanuel

$310 Vol.

70%

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Andy Beshear

$220 Vol.

67%

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Ron DeSantis

$513 Vol.

67%

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Jon Ossoff

$2,203 Vol.

65%

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Andrew Yang

$2,239 Vol.

65%

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Gavin Newsom

$5,665 Vol.

64%

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Ted Cruz

$3,198 Vol.

63%

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Josh Shapiro

$276 Vol.

53%

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Kamala Harris

$2,424 Vol.

60%

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Cory Booker

$991 Vol.

57%

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J.B. Pritzker

$332 Vol.

59%

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Mark Kelly

$501 Vol.

59%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$3,463 Vol.

53%

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Wes Moore

$170 Vol.

53%

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Jared Polis

$80 Vol.

37%

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Raphael Warnock

$130 Vol.

35%

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Rand Paul

$121 Vol.

35%

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Marco Rubio

$2,179 Vol.

33%

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Glenn Youngkin

$468 Vol.

33%

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Elise Stefanik

$80 Vol.

30%

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39%

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$451 Vol.

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28%

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$0 Vol.

26%

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Nikki Haley

$260 Vol.

26%

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26%

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26%

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Phil Murphy

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20%

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Mark Cuban

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18%

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18%

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17%

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16%

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Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

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16%

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15%

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$40 Vol.

15%

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15%

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14%

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14%

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14%

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13%

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$171 Vol.

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9%

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4%

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Barack Obama

$628 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With President Trump constitutionally barred from a third term, both major parties face open 2028 nomination contests. As of September 2026 no prominent candidates have formally declared, though early positioning has intensified after the 2024 cycle. Republican polling averages show Vice President JD Vance leading at roughly 40 percent, followed by Secretary of State Marco Rubio, while Democratic surveys place former Vice President Kamala Harris at the top ahead of Governor Gavin Newsom and Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. Rubio has stated he has no current plans to run. Speculation centers on post-midterm timing, with exploratory activity already underway among figures such as Pete Buttigieg and Ron DeSantis.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$82,589
Data di fine
31 dic 2027
Mercato aperto
Aug 4, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Risolutore

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With President Trump constitutionally barred from a third term, both major parties face open 2028 nomination contests. As of September 2026 no prominent candidates have formally declared, though early positioning has intensified after the 2024 cycle. Republican polling averages show Vice President JD Vance leading at roughly 40 percent, followed by Secretary of State Marco Rubio, while Democratic surveys place former Vice President Kamala Harris at the top ahead of Governor Gavin Newsom and Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. Rubio has stated he has no current plans to run. Speculation centers on post-midterm timing, with exploratory activity already underway among figures such as Pete Buttigieg and Ron DeSantis.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$82,589
Data di fine
31 dic 2027
Mercato aperto
Aug 4, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Risolutore

0x65070BE91...

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Domande frequenti

"Chi annuncerà la corsa presidenziale prima del 2028?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 71+ possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "J.D. Vance" a 90%, seguito da "Pete Buttigieg" a 85%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 90¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 90% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Chi annuncerà la corsa presidenziale prima del 2028?" ha generato $82.6K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Aug 4, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Chi annuncerà la corsa presidenziale prima del 2028?", esplora i 71+ esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Chi annuncerà la corsa presidenziale prima del 2028?" è "J.D. Vance" a 90%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 90% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Pete Buttigieg" a 85%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Chi annuncerà la corsa presidenziale prima del 2028?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.