Islam Makhachev holds the welterweight title after capturing it in late 2025 via dominant unanimous decision over Jack Della Maddalena, following his move up from lightweight, which has anchored his 73% implied probability to remain champion through 2026. Recent rankings place Ian Machado Garry as the clear top contender after statement wins including a first-round finish of Belal Muhammad, positioning him for a likely August title shot and supporting his 24.5% share. Michael Morales and Carlos Prates sit immediately behind with strong late-2025 victories that elevated their profiles, while the rest of the division’s depth—featuring Shavkat Rakhmonov, Sean Brady, and others—reflects thinner odds amid Makhachev’s established grappling edge and activity. Trader pricing aligns with official rankings and confirmed matchmaking rather than speculation on long-term outcomes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoIslam Makhachev 72%
Ian Machado Garry 27.9%
Michael Morales 1.6%
Carlos Prates 1.1%
$619,489 Vol.
$619,489 Vol.
Islam Makhachev
72%
Ian Machado Garry
28%
Michael Morales
2%
Carlos Prates
1%
Sean Brady
1%
Shavkat Rakhmonov
<1%
Kamaru Usman
<1%
Gabriel Bonfim
<1%
Jack Della Maddalena
<1%
Belal Muhammad
<1%
Leon Edwards
<1%
Joaquin Buckley
<1%
Islam Makhachev 72%
Ian Machado Garry 27.9%
Michael Morales 1.6%
Carlos Prates 1.1%
$619,489 Vol.
$619,489 Vol.
Islam Makhachev
72%
Ian Machado Garry
28%
Michael Morales
2%
Carlos Prates
1%
Sean Brady
1%
Shavkat Rakhmonov
<1%
Kamaru Usman
<1%
Gabriel Bonfim
<1%
Jack Della Maddalena
<1%
Belal Muhammad
<1%
Leon Edwards
<1%
Joaquin Buckley
<1%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Mercato aperto: Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Islam Makhachev holds the welterweight title after capturing it in late 2025 via dominant unanimous decision over Jack Della Maddalena, following his move up from lightweight, which has anchored his 73% implied probability to remain champion through 2026. Recent rankings place Ian Machado Garry as the clear top contender after statement wins including a first-round finish of Belal Muhammad, positioning him for a likely August title shot and supporting his 24.5% share. Michael Morales and Carlos Prates sit immediately behind with strong late-2025 victories that elevated their profiles, while the rest of the division’s depth—featuring Shavkat Rakhmonov, Sean Brady, and others—reflects thinner odds amid Makhachev’s established grappling edge and activity. Trader pricing aligns with official rankings and confirmed matchmaking rather than speculation on long-term outcomes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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