Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption drive within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army continues to shape expectations for further high-level removals through the end of 2026. The most recent major actions include January investigations into Central Military Commission vice chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department chief Liu Zhenli, which further hollowed out the military’s top command structure after earlier 2025 purges that removed over 100 senior officers. In April, former Xinjiang party secretary Ma Xingrui faced disciplinary probes, extending scrutiny beyond the armed forces. These moves align with preparations for the 21st Party Congress in 2027, where Xi is expected to secure a fourth term and install loyal successors. With no single figure commanding broad trader consensus, the market reflects the diffuse range of potential targets across military, provincial, and central leadership posts amid sustained emphasis on political loyalty.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$157,351 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Dong Jun
8%
Wang Yi
7%
Zhang Shengmin
6%
Ding Xuexiang
5%
Zhao Leji
5%
Li Qiang
5%
Wang Huning
5%
Cai Qi
4%
Li Xi
1%
$157,351 Vol.
Dong Jun
$31,499 Vol.
8%
Wang Yi
$11,781 Vol.
7%
Zhang Shengmin
$19,835 Vol.
6%
Ding Xuexiang
$13,496 Vol.
5%
Zhao Leji
$6,881 Vol.
5%
Li Qiang
$5,529 Vol.
5%
Wang Huning
$10,095 Vol.
5%
Cai Qi
$33,840 Vol.
4%
Li Xi
$24,394 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption drive within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army continues to shape expectations for further high-level removals through the end of 2026. The most recent major actions include January investigations into Central Military Commission vice chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department chief Liu Zhenli, which further hollowed out the military’s top command structure after earlier 2025 purges that removed over 100 senior officers. In April, former Xinjiang party secretary Ma Xingrui faced disciplinary probes, extending scrutiny beyond the armed forces. These moves align with preparations for the 21st Party Congress in 2027, where Xi is expected to secure a fourth term and install loyal successors. With no single figure commanding broad trader consensus, the market reflects the diffuse range of potential targets across military, provincial, and central leadership posts amid sustained emphasis on political loyalty.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Volume
$157,351Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption drive within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army continues to shape expectations for further high-level removals through the end of 2026. The most recent major actions include January investigations into Central Military Commission vice chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department chief Liu Zhenli, which further hollowed out the military’s top command structure after earlier 2025 purges that removed over 100 senior officers. In April, former Xinjiang party secretary Ma Xingrui faced disciplinary probes, extending scrutiny beyond the armed forces. These moves align with preparations for the 21st Party Congress in 2027, where Xi is expected to secure a fourth term and install loyal successors. With no single figure commanding broad trader consensus, the market reflects the diffuse range of potential targets across military, provincial, and central leadership posts amid sustained emphasis on political loyalty.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$157,351Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption drive within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army continues to shape expectations for further high-level removals through the end of 2026. The most recent major actions include January investigations into Central Military Commission vice chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department chief Liu Zhenli, which further hollowed out the military’s top command structure after earlier 2025 purges that removed over 100 senior officers. In April, former Xinjiang party secretary Ma Xingrui faced disciplinary probes, extending scrutiny beyond the armed forces. These moves align with preparations for the 21st Party Congress in 2027, where Xi is expected to secure a fourth term and install loyal successors. With no single figure commanding broad trader consensus, the market reflects the diffuse range of potential targets across military, provincial, and central leadership posts amid sustained emphasis on political loyalty.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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