Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a range-bound GBP/USD outlook around 1.35-1.40 for the remainder of 2026, driven by converging Bank of England and Federal Reserve policies holding benchmark rates steady at 3.75% and 3.50%-3.75%, respectively, amid sticky inflation—UK CPI at 3.3% through March and US CPI rising to 3.8% in April. Recent UK GDP growth of 0.2% in Q1 supports modest sterling resilience, tempered by political uncertainty around Prime Minister Starmer and energy price spikes from Middle East tensions. The pair trades near 1.3525 after dipping from May highs above 1.36. Key catalysts include June FOMC (June 11-12) and BoE (June 19) meetings, plus May CPI releases, which could widen policy divergence and push the exchange rate toward tested levels.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$57,942 Vol.
↑1,70
7%
↑1,60
9%
↑1,55
39%
↑1,50
43%
↑1,45
23%
↑1,40
45%
↓1,30
59%
↓1,25
50%
↓1,20
48%
↓1,10
37%
↓1,00
6%
$57,942 Vol.
↑1,70
7%
↑1,60
9%
↑1,55
39%
↑1,50
43%
↑1,45
23%
↑1,40
45%
↓1,30
59%
↓1,25
50%
↓1,20
48%
↓1,10
37%
↓1,00
6%
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized GBP/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the GBP/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/gbp-usd-chart).
Mercato aperto: Feb 6, 2026, 4:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized GBP/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the GBP/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/gbp-usd-chart).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a range-bound GBP/USD outlook around 1.35-1.40 for the remainder of 2026, driven by converging Bank of England and Federal Reserve policies holding benchmark rates steady at 3.75% and 3.50%-3.75%, respectively, amid sticky inflation—UK CPI at 3.3% through March and US CPI rising to 3.8% in April. Recent UK GDP growth of 0.2% in Q1 supports modest sterling resilience, tempered by political uncertainty around Prime Minister Starmer and energy price spikes from Middle East tensions. The pair trades near 1.3525 after dipping from May highs above 1.36. Key catalysts include June FOMC (June 11-12) and BoE (June 19) meetings, plus May CPI releases, which could widen policy divergence and push the exchange rate toward tested levels.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti