Skip to main content
icon for Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?

Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?

icon for Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?

Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?

26% probabilità
Polymarket
NUOVO
26% probabilità
Polymarket
NUOVO
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte. The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.The Philippine Senate, acting as an impeachment court, opened proceedings against Vice President Sara Duterte in May 2026 following an overwhelming House vote on articles alleging misuse of confidential funds, unexplained wealth, and other charges. Conviction requires a two-thirds majority of 16 out of 24 senators and would result in removal from office plus a lifetime ban on holding public office. Senate leadership shifted in her favor with the elevation of ally Alan Peter Cayetano as presiding officer, and multiple reports note a chamber containing a significant bloc of Duterte supporters who have signaled resistance to conviction. Pre-trial steps, including her formal answer and a June 18 conference, precede an expected July 2026 trial start, but the composition of the Senate continues to shape trader assessments that removal remains unlikely absent major shifts in alliances or new evidence altering votes.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.

The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$3,022
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte. The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte. The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.The Philippine Senate, acting as an impeachment court, opened proceedings against Vice President Sara Duterte in May 2026 following an overwhelming House vote on articles alleging misuse of confidential funds, unexplained wealth, and other charges. Conviction requires a two-thirds majority of 16 out of 24 senators and would result in removal from office plus a lifetime ban on holding public office. Senate leadership shifted in her favor with the elevation of ally Alan Peter Cayetano as presiding officer, and multiple reports note a chamber containing a significant bloc of Duterte supporters who have signaled resistance to conviction. Pre-trial steps, including her formal answer and a June 18 conference, precede an expected July 2026 trial start, but the composition of the Senate continues to shape trader assessments that removal remains unlikely absent major shifts in alliances or new evidence altering votes.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.

The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$3,022
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte. The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte? " è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni "Sì" o "No" in base a se credono che questo evento accadrà. La probabilità attuale aggregata è 21% per "Yes". Ad esempio, se "Sì" è quotato a 21¢, il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 21% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte? " è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il May 21, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte? ", scegli semplicemente se ritieni che la risposta sia "Sì" o "No". Ogni lato ha un prezzo corrente che riflette la probabilità implicita del mercato. Inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se compri azioni "Sì" e l'esito si risolve come "Sì", ogni azione paga $1. Se si risolve come "No", le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

La probabilità attuale per "Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte? " è 21% per "Yes". Questo significa che la comunità Polymarket attualmente ritiene che ci sia una probabilità di 21% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale basandosi sulle operazioni effettive, fornendo un segnale continuamente aggiornato di ciò che il mercato si aspetta accada.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte? " definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.