The Philippine Senate impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, underway since July 2026, centers on articles alleging betrayal of public trust, graft, bribery, and unexplained wealth tied to confidential funds and SALN discrepancies. Conviction requires 16 of 24 senator-judges, a threshold that has sparked debate over whether it adjusts for detained or absent members, with amici curiae recently advising the court on this point. Duterte-aligned senators hold influence in the chamber following leadership shifts, creating resistance to reaching the supermajority despite House prosecutors presenting witnesses on financial records and related allegations. This balance keeps trader consensus near even, as the extended schedule into 2027 allows time for evidence impact, procedural rulings, or alliance shifts to alter the path toward acquittal or removal.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoWill the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?
Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?
49% probabilità
$12,651 Vol.
$12,651 Vol.
30 dic 2026
49% probabilità
$12,651 Vol.
$12,651 Vol.
30 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.The Philippine Senate impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, underway since July 2026, centers on articles alleging betrayal of public trust, graft, bribery, and unexplained wealth tied to confidential funds and SALN discrepancies. Conviction requires 16 of 24 senator-judges, a threshold that has sparked debate over whether it adjusts for detained or absent members, with amici curiae recently advising the court on this point. Duterte-aligned senators hold influence in the chamber following leadership shifts, creating resistance to reaching the supermajority despite House prosecutors presenting witnesses on financial records and related allegations. This balance keeps trader consensus near even, as the extended schedule into 2027 allows time for evidence impact, procedural rulings, or alliance shifts to alter the path toward acquittal or removal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
Mercato aperto: May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ET
Volume
$12,651Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.The Philippine Senate impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, underway since July 2026, centers on articles alleging betrayal of public trust, graft, bribery, and unexplained wealth tied to confidential funds and SALN discrepancies. Conviction requires 16 of 24 senator-judges, a threshold that has sparked debate over whether it adjusts for detained or absent members, with amici curiae recently advising the court on this point. Duterte-aligned senators hold influence in the chamber following leadership shifts, creating resistance to reaching the supermajority despite House prosecutors presenting witnesses on financial records and related allegations. This balance keeps trader consensus near even, as the extended schedule into 2027 allows time for evidence impact, procedural rulings, or alliance shifts to alter the path toward acquittal or removal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$12,651Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...The Philippine Senate impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, underway since July 2026, centers on articles alleging betrayal of public trust, graft, bribery, and unexplained wealth tied to confidential funds and SALN discrepancies. Conviction requires 16 of 24 senator-judges, a threshold that has sparked debate over whether it adjusts for detained or absent members, with amici curiae recently advising the court on this point. Duterte-aligned senators hold influence in the chamber following leadership shifts, creating resistance to reaching the supermajority despite House prosecutors presenting witnesses on financial records and related allegations. This balance keeps trader consensus near even, as the extended schedule into 2027 allows time for evidence impact, procedural rulings, or alliance shifts to alter the path toward acquittal or removal.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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