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icon for Lima Mayoral Election Winner

Lima Mayoral Election Winner

icon for Lima Mayoral Election Winner

Lima Mayoral Election Winner

Rafael López Aliaga 70.3%

Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca 28.9%

Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera 2.6%

Francis James Allison Oyague 1.5%

Polymarket

$147,060 Vol.

Rafael López Aliaga 70.3%

Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca 28.9%

Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera 2.6%

Francis James Allison Oyague 1.5%

Polymarket

$147,060 Vol.

icon for Rafael López Aliaga

Rafael López Aliaga

$10,630 Vol.

70%

icon for Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca

Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca

$50,705 Vol.

23%

icon for Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera

Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera

$9,427 Vol.

3%

icon for Francis James Allison Oyague

Francis James Allison Oyague

$18,826 Vol.

2%

icon for Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli

Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli

$5,126 Vol.

1%

icon for Samuel Marcos Daza Taype

Samuel Marcos Daza Taype

$3,879 Vol.

1%

icon for Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué

Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué

$3,807 Vol.

1%

icon for Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo

Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo

$9,541 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rubén José Ramírez Mateo

Rubén José Ramírez Mateo

$2,379 Vol.

<1%

icon for Yehude Simón Munaro

Yehude Simón Munaro

$5,427 Vol.

<1%

icon for Santiago Rosendo Abarca León

Santiago Rosendo Abarca León

$1,829 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luis Alberto Huette Tolentino

Luis Alberto Huette Tolentino

$1,727 Vol.

<1%

icon for Edgardo Renán De Pomar Vizcarra

Edgardo Renán De Pomar Vizcarra

$1,799 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sandro Caller Gutiérrez

Sandro Caller Gutiérrez

$2,118 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jessica Viviana Linares Romero

Jessica Viviana Linares Romero

$1,872 Vol.

<1%

icon for Elizabeth María del Rosario León Chinchay

Elizabeth María del Rosario León Chinchay

$2,446 Vol.

<1%

icon for Victoria Betzabé La Cruz Garcés

Victoria Betzabé La Cruz Garcés

$1,684 Vol.

<1%

icon for Flor de María Hurtado Valdez

Flor de María Hurtado Valdez

$1,898 Vol.

<1%

icon for Oswaldo Hernán Vargas Cuéllar

Oswaldo Hernán Vargas Cuéllar

$2,479 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rubén Daniel Bonilla Espinoza

Rubén Daniel Bonilla Espinoza

$2,201 Vol.

<1%

icon for Segundo Valdez Zavala

Segundo Valdez Zavala

$1,769 Vol.

<1%

icon for Samir Frank Quispe Caballero

Samir Frank Quispe Caballero

$2,073 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carlos Alberto Tejada Noriega

Carlos Alberto Tejada Noriega

$3,416 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).Rafael López Aliaga of Renovación Popular holds the strongest position in the Lima mayoral race ahead of the October 4 vote, reflecting his consistent lead in recent polling averages from firms such as CPI and IEP, where he registers roughly double the support of his nearest rival. His prior term as mayor, high name recognition, and the party's strong local organization underpin trader assessments, even as he appears on the ballot as first regidor rather than mayoral candidate. Carlos Bruce of Somos Perú follows as the clearest alternative, drawing support in higher-income segments and among some centrist voters. Lower probabilities for Daniel Urresti, Francis Allison, Susel Paredes, and the remaining field align with their single-digit polling shares and limited momentum in the final month. The Jurado Nacional de Elecciones' early September confirmation of López Aliaga's regidor candidacy removed a key procedural hurdle and reinforced expectations that his list could secure the mayoralty through standard succession rules if the top candidate steps aside.

The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Volume
$147,060
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Jul 24, 2026, 11:54 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).Rafael López Aliaga of Renovación Popular holds the strongest position in the Lima mayoral race ahead of the October 4 vote, reflecting his consistent lead in recent polling averages from firms such as CPI and IEP, where he registers roughly double the support of his nearest rival. His prior term as mayor, high name recognition, and the party's strong local organization underpin trader assessments, even as he appears on the ballot as first regidor rather than mayoral candidate. Carlos Bruce of Somos Perú follows as the clearest alternative, drawing support in higher-income segments and among some centrist voters. Lower probabilities for Daniel Urresti, Francis Allison, Susel Paredes, and the remaining field align with their single-digit polling shares and limited momentum in the final month. The Jurado Nacional de Elecciones' early September confirmation of López Aliaga's regidor candidacy removed a key procedural hurdle and reinforced expectations that his list could secure the mayoralty through standard succession rules if the top candidate steps aside.

The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Volume
$147,060
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Jul 24, 2026, 11:54 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

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Domande frequenti

"Lima Mayoral Election Winner" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 23 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Rafael López Aliaga" a 70%, seguito da "Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca" a 23%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 70¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 70% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Lima Mayoral Election Winner" ha generato $147.1K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Jul 24, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Lima Mayoral Election Winner", esplora i 23 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Lima Mayoral Election Winner" è "Rafael López Aliaga" a 70%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 70% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca" a 23%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Lima Mayoral Election Winner" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.