The 2026 FIFA World Cup final between defending champions Argentina and Spain at MetLife Stadium on July 19 carries elevated pressure that historically influences penalty conversion rates in shootouts or open play. Multiple knockout-stage matches have already reached extra time and penalties, with conversion struggles evident across several ties. Lionel Messi’s recent misses from the spot—including multiple attempts during the tournament—highlight individual form under scrutiny, though Argentina’s attacking depth and Spain’s defensive organization shape expectations. Weather, fatigue from the expanded 48-team schedule, and last-minute lineup adjustments remain variables that could alter set-piece execution or force decisive kicks. Trader consensus reflects these situational dynamics ahead of the match.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMarc Pubill
99%
Giuliano Simeone
99%
Joan García
98%
Unai Simón
98%
Juan Musso
98%
Gerónimo Rulli
98%
Emiliano Martínez
98%
Pau Cubarsí
50%
Marc Cucurella
50%
Fabián Ruiz
50%
Álex Baena
50%
Martín Zubimendi
50%
Pedri
50%
Dani Olmo
50%
Lamine Yamal
50%
Mikel Oyarzabal
50%
Enzo Fernández
50%
Álex Grimaldo
50%
Eric García
50%
Marcos Llorente
50%
Pedro Porro
50%
Aymeric Laporte
50%
Mikel Merino
50%
Gavi
50%
Ferran Torres
50%
Julián Álvarez
50%
Lionel Messi
50%
José Manuel López
5%
Leandro Paredes
5%
Rodrigo De Paul
5%
Lautaro Martínez
5%
Yeremy Pino
5%
Nico Williams
5%
Víctor Muñoz
5%
Borja Iglesias
5%
Marcos Senesi
5%
Nicolás Tagliafico
5%
Gonzalo Montiel
5%
Lisandro Martínez
5%
Cristian Romero
5%
Nicolás Otamendi
5%
Facundo Medina
5%
Nahuel Molina
5%
Valentín Barco
5%
Giovani Lo Celso
5%
Exequiel Palacios
5%
Nico González
5%
Alexis Mac Allister
5%
Thiago Almada
5%
Nico Paz
5%
Rodri
4%
David Raya
2%
$236 Vol.
Marc Pubill
99%
Giuliano Simeone
99%
Joan García
98%
Unai Simón
98%
Juan Musso
98%
Gerónimo Rulli
98%
Emiliano Martínez
98%
Pau Cubarsí
50%
Marc Cucurella
50%
Fabián Ruiz
50%
Álex Baena
50%
Martín Zubimendi
50%
Pedri
50%
Dani Olmo
50%
Lamine Yamal
50%
Mikel Oyarzabal
50%
Enzo Fernández
50%
Álex Grimaldo
50%
Eric García
50%
Marcos Llorente
50%
Pedro Porro
50%
Aymeric Laporte
50%
Mikel Merino
50%
Gavi
50%
Ferran Torres
50%
Julián Álvarez
50%
Lionel Messi
50%
José Manuel López
5%
Leandro Paredes
5%
Rodrigo De Paul
5%
Lautaro Martínez
5%
Yeremy Pino
5%
Nico Williams
5%
Víctor Muñoz
5%
Borja Iglesias
5%
Marcos Senesi
5%
Nicolás Tagliafico
5%
Gonzalo Montiel
5%
Lisandro Martínez
5%
Cristian Romero
5%
Nicolás Otamendi
5%
Facundo Medina
5%
Nahuel Molina
5%
Valentín Barco
5%
Giovani Lo Celso
5%
Exequiel Palacios
5%
Nico González
5%
Alexis Mac Allister
5%
Thiago Almada
5%
Nico Paz
5%
Rodri
4%
David Raya
2%
Only penalty kicks taken during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time are counted. A penalty is counted as missed if it does not result in a goal (missed or saved). Penalty shootout kicks do not count.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no results within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jul 16, 2026, 7:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Only penalty kicks taken during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time are counted. A penalty is counted as missed if it does not result in a goal (missed or saved). Penalty shootout kicks do not count.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no results within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The 2026 FIFA World Cup final between defending champions Argentina and Spain at MetLife Stadium on July 19 carries elevated pressure that historically influences penalty conversion rates in shootouts or open play. Multiple knockout-stage matches have already reached extra time and penalties, with conversion struggles evident across several ties. Lionel Messi’s recent misses from the spot—including multiple attempts during the tournament—highlight individual form under scrutiny, though Argentina’s attacking depth and Spain’s defensive organization shape expectations. Weather, fatigue from the expanded 48-team schedule, and last-minute lineup adjustments remain variables that could alter set-piece execution or force decisive kicks. Trader consensus reflects these situational dynamics ahead of the match.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti