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選挙·フランス

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

icon for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
選挙·フランス

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

$53,943 Vol.

2027/04/17
Polymarket

$53,943 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$3,570 Vol.

89%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$3,429 Vol.

88%

icon for Nathalie Arthaud

Nathalie Arthaud

$2,084 Vol.

83%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$2,974 Vol.

73%

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$468 Vol.

71%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$895 Vol.

55%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$818 Vol.

56%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$2,305 Vol.

55%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$275 Vol.

51%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$2,066 Vol.

50%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$2,087 Vol.

45%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$1,335 Vol.

49%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$1,615 Vol.

46%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$81 Vol.

40%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$1,419 Vol.

40%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$1,250 Vol.

35%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$1,346 Vol.

29%

icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$2,108 Vol.

29%

icon for Delphine Batho

Delphine Batho

$395 Vol.

16%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$108 Vol.

27%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$688 Vol.

18%

icon for マチュー・ピガス

マチュー・ピガス

$4,360 Vol.

17%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$856 Vol.

28%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$441 Vol.

15%

icon for フアン・ブランコ

フアン・ブランコ

$1,751 Vol.

14%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$237 Vol.

14%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$1,488 Vol.

14%

icon for Jérôme Guedj

Jérôme Guedj

$747 Vol.

12%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$596 Vol.

11%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$998 Vol.

10%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$767 Vol.

10%

icon for ミシェル＝エドゥアール・ルクレール

ミシェル＝エドゥアール・ルクレール

$1,151 Vol.

9%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$161 Vol.

9%

icon for フィリップ・ド・ヴィリエ

フィリップ・ド・ヴィリエ

$691 Vol.

8%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$496 Vol.

7%

icon for マニュエル・ヴァルス

マニュエル・ヴァルス

$350 Vol.

7%

icon for Jean-Michel Fauvergue

Jean-Michel Fauvergue

$863 Vol.

7%

icon for バリー・バガヨコ

バリー・バガヨコ

$1,099 Vol.

6%

icon for Karim Bouamrane

Karim Bouamrane

$1,034 Vol.

6%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$1,573 Vol.

5%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$252 Vol.

5%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$343 Vol.

4%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$952 Vol.

4%

icon for テディ・リネール

テディ・リネール

$148 Vol.

4%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$477 Vol.

4%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$795 Vol.

3%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Emmanuel Macron's two-term limit leaves the 2027 French presidential race open, with the first round set for April and a potential runoff two weeks later. A Paris appeals court ruling expected on July 7 could uphold Marine Le Pen's five-year public-office ban from her 2025 embezzlement conviction, forcing National Rally to turn to Jordan Bardella as its standard-bearer. Jean-Luc Mélenchon confirmed his fourth candidacy in early May, while center-right figures including Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal position themselves as alternatives; the Republicans have already nominated Bruno Retailleau. Left-wing groups are organizing a unity primary to select one contender, and several other declared or exploratory candidates add to a crowded field whose composition will hinge on legal outcomes, party consolidations, and polling trends through the coming year.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$53,943
終了日
2027/04/17
マーケット開始日
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Emmanuel Macron's two-term limit leaves the 2027 French presidential race open, with the first round set for April and a potential runoff two weeks later. A Paris appeals court ruling expected on July 7 could uphold Marine Le Pen's five-year public-office ban from her 2025 embezzlement conviction, forcing National Rally to turn to Jordan Bardella as its standard-bearer. Jean-Luc Mélenchon confirmed his fourth candidacy in early May, while center-right figures including Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal position themselves as alternatives; the Republicans have already nominated Bruno Retailleau. Left-wing groups are organizing a unity primary to select one contender, and several other declared or exploratory candidates add to a crowded field whose composition will hinge on legal outcomes, party consolidations, and polling trends through the coming year.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$53,943
終了日
2027/04/17
マーケット開始日
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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よくある質問

「2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?」はPolymarket上の46+個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Jean-Luc Mélenchon」で89%、次いで「Édouard Philippe」が88%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、89¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に89%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?」は$53.9Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Apr 22, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている46+個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?」の現在のフロントランナーは「Jean-Luc Mélenchon」で89%であり、市場がこの結果に89%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Édouard Philippe」で88%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。