**Strong growth from the AI-driven semiconductor boom and above-target inflation have anchored expectations for the Bank of Korea’s October policy decision.** After consecutive 25 basis point hikes in July and August that lifted the benchmark rate to 3.00%, the latest dot plot shows 3.25% as the most probable end-2026 level, with core inflation revised higher to 2.5% and 2026 GDP upgraded to 3.3%. Governor Shin Hyun-song emphasized a gradual, data-dependent approach and “live meetings,” prompting analysts to anticipate a pause in October while monitoring inflation prints, housing prices, and household debt. These dynamics support the market-implied odds favoring no change (57.5%) over a further 25 basis point hike (36.0%).
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日据え置き 59%
25ベーシスポイント利上げ 36%
50ベーシスポイント超の利上げ 6%
25ベーシスポイント利下げ 4.7%
新規
新規
2026/10/21
50ベーシスポイント以上の利下げ
1%
25ベーシスポイント利下げ
5%
据え置き
59%
25ベーシスポイント利上げ
36%
50ベーシスポイント超の利上げ
6%
据え置き 59%
25ベーシスポイント利上げ 36%
50ベーシスポイント超の利上げ 6%
25ベーシスポイント利下げ 4.7%
新規
新規
2026/10/21
50ベーシスポイント以上の利下げ
$30 Vol.
1%
25ベーシスポイント利下げ
$175 Vol.
5%
据え置き
$3,787 Vol.
59%
25ベーシスポイント利上げ
$862 Vol.
36%
50ベーシスポイント超の利上げ
$86 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 22, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.**Strong growth from the AI-driven semiconductor boom and above-target inflation have anchored expectations for the Bank of Korea’s October policy decision.** After consecutive 25 basis point hikes in July and August that lifted the benchmark rate to 3.00%, the latest dot plot shows 3.25% as the most probable end-2026 level, with core inflation revised higher to 2.5% and 2026 GDP upgraded to 3.3%. Governor Shin Hyun-song emphasized a gradual, data-dependent approach and “live meetings,” prompting analysts to anticipate a pause in October while monitoring inflation prints, housing prices, and household debt. These dynamics support the market-implied odds favoring no change (57.5%) over a further 25 basis point hike (36.0%).
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 22, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 22, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
マーケット開始日： Aug 27, 2026, 7:06 PM ET
音量
$4,940終了日
2026/10/22マーケット開始日
Aug 27, 2026, 7:06 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 22, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.**Strong growth from the AI-driven semiconductor boom and above-target inflation have anchored expectations for the Bank of Korea’s October policy decision.** After consecutive 25 basis point hikes in July and August that lifted the benchmark rate to 3.00%, the latest dot plot shows 3.25% as the most probable end-2026 level, with core inflation revised higher to 2.5% and 2026 GDP upgraded to 3.3%. Governor Shin Hyun-song emphasized a gradual, data-dependent approach and “live meetings,” prompting analysts to anticipate a pause in October while monitoring inflation prints, housing prices, and household debt. These dynamics support the market-implied odds favoring no change (57.5%) over a further 25 basis point hike (36.0%).
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 22, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 22, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
音量
$4,940終了日
2026/10/22マーケット開始日
Aug 27, 2026, 7:06 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...**Strong growth from the AI-driven semiconductor boom and above-target inflation have anchored expectations for the Bank of Korea’s October policy decision.** After consecutive 25 basis point hikes in July and August that lifted the benchmark rate to 3.00%, the latest dot plot shows 3.25% as the most probable end-2026 level, with core inflation revised higher to 2.5% and 2026 GDP upgraded to 3.3%. Governor Shin Hyun-song emphasized a gradual, data-dependent approach and “live meetings,” prompting analysts to anticipate a pause in October while monitoring inflation prints, housing prices, and household debt. These dynamics support the market-implied odds favoring no change (57.5%) over a further 25 basis point hike (36.0%).
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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