Apple has shifted to a split iPhone 18 launch strategy, releasing only premium models—the iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and foldable iPhone Duo—at its September 9, 2026 event while holding the base iPhone 18, 18e, and Air 2 for spring 2027. This aligns with supply chain reports citing DRAM and advanced packaging shortages that prioritize higher-margin devices, alongside efforts to manage manufacturing complexity for the first foldable. Analysts including Ming-Chi Kuo and supplier comments from Largan Precision and Pegatron have reinforced the timeline, noting the standard model will feature the A20 chip but arrive months later than the Pro lineup now shipping. Traders are pricing in a clear 2027 window given the confirmed absence of any base model announcement or pre-order activity this fall.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
2027/02/28
2027年2月28日
27%
2027年3月31日
74%
2027年4月30日
85%
$252 Vol.
2027年2月28日
$124 Vol.
27%
2027年3月31日
$88 Vol.
74%
2027年4月30日
$40 Vol.
85%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases the base iPhone 18 by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple has shifted to a split iPhone 18 launch strategy, releasing only premium models—the iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and foldable iPhone Duo—at its September 9, 2026 event while holding the base iPhone 18, 18e, and Air 2 for spring 2027. This aligns with supply chain reports citing DRAM and advanced packaging shortages that prioritize higher-margin devices, alongside efforts to manage manufacturing complexity for the first foldable. Analysts including Ming-Chi Kuo and supplier comments from Largan Precision and Pegatron have reinforced the timeline, noting the standard model will feature the A20 chip but arrive months later than the Pro lineup now shipping. Traders are pricing in a clear 2027 window given the confirmed absence of any base model announcement or pre-order activity this fall.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases the base iPhone 18 by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Sep 18, 2026, 5:52 PM ET
音量
$252終了日
2027/05/01マーケット開始日
Sep 18, 2026, 5:52 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases the base iPhone 18 by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple has shifted to a split iPhone 18 launch strategy, releasing only premium models—the iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and foldable iPhone Duo—at its September 9, 2026 event while holding the base iPhone 18, 18e, and Air 2 for spring 2027. This aligns with supply chain reports citing DRAM and advanced packaging shortages that prioritize higher-margin devices, alongside efforts to manage manufacturing complexity for the first foldable. Analysts including Ming-Chi Kuo and supplier comments from Largan Precision and Pegatron have reinforced the timeline, noting the standard model will feature the A20 chip but arrive months later than the Pro lineup now shipping. Traders are pricing in a clear 2027 window given the confirmed absence of any base model announcement or pre-order activity this fall.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases the base iPhone 18 by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$252終了日
2027/05/01マーケット開始日
Sep 18, 2026, 5:52 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Apple has shifted to a split iPhone 18 launch strategy, releasing only premium models—the iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and foldable iPhone Duo—at its September 9, 2026 event while holding the base iPhone 18, 18e, and Air 2 for spring 2027. This aligns with supply chain reports citing DRAM and advanced packaging shortages that prioritize higher-margin devices, alongside efforts to manage manufacturing complexity for the first foldable. Analysts including Ming-Chi Kuo and supplier comments from Largan Precision and Pegatron have reinforced the timeline, noting the standard model will feature the A20 chip but arrive months later than the Pro lineup now shipping. Traders are pricing in a clear 2027 window given the confirmed absence of any base model announcement or pre-order activity this fall.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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