The 90% cap on gambling loss deductions took effect for tax year 2026 under the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, signed in July 2025, shifting from the prior 100% limit up to winnings. Industry groups including the American Gaming Association have pushed for repeal via legislation such as the FAIR Bet Act, citing impacts on professional and recreational gamblers, with some advocates targeting action by the end of 2026 to avoid effects on 2027 filings. Public calls for reversal, including a May 2026 letter from UFC’s Dana White to the administration, produced short-term shifts in related prediction markets but no enacted changes. As of mid-2026, no repeal bill has advanced to passage amid competing legislative priorities, supporting trader consensus that the provision will remain in place through 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
16% 確率
$71,078 Vol.
$71,078 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
16% 確率
$71,078 Vol.
$71,078 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. The 90% cap on gambling loss deductions took effect for tax year 2026 under the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, signed in July 2025, shifting from the prior 100% limit up to winnings. Industry groups including the American Gaming Association have pushed for repeal via legislation such as the FAIR Bet Act, citing impacts on professional and recreational gamblers, with some advocates targeting action by the end of 2026 to avoid effects on 2027 filings. Public calls for reversal, including a May 2026 letter from UFC’s Dana White to the administration, produced short-term shifts in related prediction markets but no enacted changes. As of mid-2026, no repeal bill has advanced to passage amid competing legislative priorities, supporting trader consensus that the provision will remain in place through 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
音量
$71,078終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. The 90% cap on gambling loss deductions took effect for tax year 2026 under the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, signed in July 2025, shifting from the prior 100% limit up to winnings. Industry groups including the American Gaming Association have pushed for repeal via legislation such as the FAIR Bet Act, citing impacts on professional and recreational gamblers, with some advocates targeting action by the end of 2026 to avoid effects on 2027 filings. Public calls for reversal, including a May 2026 letter from UFC’s Dana White to the administration, produced short-term shifts in related prediction markets but no enacted changes. As of mid-2026, no repeal bill has advanced to passage amid competing legislative priorities, supporting trader consensus that the provision will remain in place through 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$71,078終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 90% cap on gambling loss deductions took effect for tax year 2026 under the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, signed in July 2025, shifting from the prior 100% limit up to winnings. Industry groups including the American Gaming Association have pushed for repeal via legislation such as the FAIR Bet Act, citing impacts on professional and recreational gamblers, with some advocates targeting action by the end of 2026 to avoid effects on 2027 filings. Public calls for reversal, including a May 2026 letter from UFC’s Dana White to the administration, produced short-term shifts in related prediction markets but no enacted changes. As of mid-2026, no repeal bill has advanced to passage amid competing legislative priorities, supporting trader consensus that the provision will remain in place through 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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