Doug Ford remains firmly entrenched as Progressive Conservative Party leader and Ontario premier following his party's third consecutive majority victory in the February 2025 election. He publicly affirmed his intention to seek a fourth mandate at the January 2026 party convention, with no scheduled leadership review or credible challenge emerging since. Recent polling shows the PCs maintaining a lead over the Liberals despite Ford's personal approval rating falling to historic lows amid controversies over expenses and policy decisions. Internal party discipline has held, as evidenced by the removal of a dissenting caucus chair in June 2026, while the divided opposition has not mounted sustained pressure for change. These factors underpin the 87% trader consensus that Ford will remain in place through December 31, 2026.