Pierre Poilievre secured an overwhelming 87 percent mandate in the Conservative Party’s January 2026 leadership review following the April 2025 election defeat, and caucus members have continued to issue public endorsements of his role as leader of the Official Opposition into mid-May. Recent floor crossings and by-election setbacks have prompted some internal polling to show softening support among Conservative voters, yet no formal challenge or snap review has materialized. With the next mandatory leadership review not scheduled until after 2026 and Poilievre actively participating in parliamentary debates, factory tours, and party conferences, traders view removal before year-end as unlikely absent a major unforeseen shift in party dynamics or polling trends.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$148,679 Vol.
$148,679 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
$148,679 Vol.
$148,679 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pierre Poilievre ceases to be Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pierre Poilievre's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pierre Poilievre and the Conservative Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pierre Poilievre secured an overwhelming 87 percent mandate in the Conservative Party’s January 2026 leadership review following the April 2025 election defeat, and caucus members have continued to issue public endorsements of his role as leader of the Official Opposition into mid-May. Recent floor crossings and by-election setbacks have prompted some internal polling to show softening support among Conservative voters, yet no formal challenge or snap review has materialized. With the next mandatory leadership review not scheduled until after 2026 and Poilievre actively participating in parliamentary debates, factory tours, and party conferences, traders view removal before year-end as unlikely absent a major unforeseen shift in party dynamics or polling trends.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pierre Poilievre ceases to be Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pierre Poilievre's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pierre Poilievre and the Conservative Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Pierre Poilievre's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pierre Poilievre and the Conservative Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Nov 5, 2025, 12:02 PM ET
音量
$148,679終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 12:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pierre Poilievre ceases to be Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pierre Poilievre's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pierre Poilievre and the Conservative Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pierre Poilievre secured an overwhelming 87 percent mandate in the Conservative Party’s January 2026 leadership review following the April 2025 election defeat, and caucus members have continued to issue public endorsements of his role as leader of the Official Opposition into mid-May. Recent floor crossings and by-election setbacks have prompted some internal polling to show softening support among Conservative voters, yet no formal challenge or snap review has materialized. With the next mandatory leadership review not scheduled until after 2026 and Poilievre actively participating in parliamentary debates, factory tours, and party conferences, traders view removal before year-end as unlikely absent a major unforeseen shift in party dynamics or polling trends.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pierre Poilievre ceases to be Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pierre Poilievre's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pierre Poilievre and the Conservative Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Pierre Poilievre's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pierre Poilievre and the Conservative Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$148,679終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 12:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Pierre Poilievre secured an overwhelming 87 percent mandate in the Conservative Party’s January 2026 leadership review following the April 2025 election defeat, and caucus members have continued to issue public endorsements of his role as leader of the Official Opposition into mid-May. Recent floor crossings and by-election setbacks have prompted some internal polling to show softening support among Conservative voters, yet no formal challenge or snap review has materialized. With the next mandatory leadership review not scheduled until after 2026 and Poilievre actively participating in parliamentary debates, factory tours, and party conferences, traders view removal before year-end as unlikely absent a major unforeseen shift in party dynamics or polling trends.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問