Elon Musk’s established high-volume posting cadence on X, typically averaging 25–35 posts daily across commentary, memes, and updates, anchors trader consensus around the 180–219 tweet range for August 4–11. With the week nearing its close on August 11 and no major platform changes or absences reported, current implied probabilities reflect observed momentum that aligns closely with recent weekly totals. The market assigns the strongest edge to 180–199 at 48.5 percent, followed by 200–219 and 160–179, underscoring how steady activity without spikes or slowdowns has narrowed expectations. Upcoming final-day posts remain the key swing factor that could shift resolution within these leading buckets.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日180-199 49%
200-219 24%
160-179 22%
220-239 4.0%
$1,494,934 Vol.
$1,494,934 Vol.
2026/08/11
140-159
1%
160-179
22%
180-199
49%
200-219
24%
220-239
4%
240-259
1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 49%
200-219 24%
160-179 22%
220-239 4.0%
$1,494,934 Vol.
$1,494,934 Vol.
2026/08/11
140-159
$143,685 Vol.
1%
160-179
$111,429 Vol.
22%
180-199
$81,957 Vol.
49%
200-219
$92,498 Vol.
24%
220-239
$85,624 Vol.
4%
240-259
$90,041 Vol.
1%
260-279
$90,270 Vol.
<1%
280-299
$94,763 Vol.
<1%
300-319
$93,844 Vol.
<1%
320-339
$57,917 Vol.
<1%
340-359
$39,592 Vol.
<1%
360-379
$45,547 Vol.
<1%
380-399
$26,787 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$24,589 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$6,227 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$14,453 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$6,847 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$6,862 Vol.
<1%
500+
$46,766 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 4 12:00 PM ET to August 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s established high-volume posting cadence on X, typically averaging 25–35 posts daily across commentary, memes, and updates, anchors trader consensus around the 180–219 tweet range for August 4–11. With the week nearing its close on August 11 and no major platform changes or absences reported, current implied probabilities reflect observed momentum that aligns closely with recent weekly totals. The market assigns the strongest edge to 180–199 at 48.5 percent, followed by 200–219 and 160–179, underscoring how steady activity without spikes or slowdowns has narrowed expectations. Upcoming final-day posts remain the key swing factor that could shift resolution within these leading buckets.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 4 12:00 PM ET to August 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日： Aug 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
音量
$1,494,934終了日
2026/08/11マーケット開始日
Aug 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 4 12:00 PM ET to August 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s established high-volume posting cadence on X, typically averaging 25–35 posts daily across commentary, memes, and updates, anchors trader consensus around the 180–219 tweet range for August 4–11. With the week nearing its close on August 11 and no major platform changes or absences reported, current implied probabilities reflect observed momentum that aligns closely with recent weekly totals. The market assigns the strongest edge to 180–199 at 48.5 percent, followed by 200–219 and 160–179, underscoring how steady activity without spikes or slowdowns has narrowed expectations. Upcoming final-day posts remain the key swing factor that could shift resolution within these leading buckets.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 4 12:00 PM ET to August 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$1,494,934終了日
2026/08/11マーケット開始日
Aug 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s established high-volume posting cadence on X, typically averaging 25–35 posts daily across commentary, memes, and updates, anchors trader consensus around the 180–219 tweet range for August 4–11. With the week nearing its close on August 11 and no major platform changes or absences reported, current implied probabilities reflect observed momentum that aligns closely with recent weekly totals. The market assigns the strongest edge to 180–199 at 48.5 percent, followed by 200–219 and 160–179, underscoring how steady activity without spikes or slowdowns has narrowed expectations. Upcoming final-day posts remain the key swing factor that could shift resolution within these leading buckets.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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