Elon Musk's recent posting pace on X, with multiple daily updates including product mentions and casual commentary as of mid-July 2026, anchors trader focus on moderate activity levels for the July 20-22 window. Historical patterns show his output fluctuating sharply with news cycles, Tesla or SpaceX developments, and personal engagement rather than fixed schedules, creating tight competition among the 40-64, under-40, and 65-89 ranges. Weekday timing adds consistency but limited upside without major catalysts like earnings or launches. The close market-implied odds reflect this inherent variability, where even brief spikes in replies or threads can shift totals, underscoring the wisdom-of-crowds assessment of his unpredictable rhythm over any single narrative.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日40～64 50%
40未満 30%
65～89 19%
90〜114 3.1%
新規
$63,300 Vol.
新規
$63,300 Vol.
2026/07/22
40未満
30%
40～64
50%
65～89
19%
90〜114
3%
115〜139
1%
140～164
<1%
165～189
<1%
190〜214
<1%
215～239
<1%
240以上
<1%
40～64 50%
40未満 30%
65～89 19%
90〜114 3.1%
新規
$63,300 Vol.
新規
$63,300 Vol.
2026/07/22
40未満
$8,587 Vol.
30%
40～64
$8,379 Vol.
50%
65～89
$6,344 Vol.
19%
90〜114
$6,978 Vol.
3%
115〜139
$8,524 Vol.
1%
140～164
$4,193 Vol.
<1%
165～189
$9,837 Vol.
<1%
190〜214
$6,714 Vol.
<1%
215～239
$2,278 Vol.
<1%
240以上
$1,465 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 20 12:00 PM ET to July 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's recent posting pace on X, with multiple daily updates including product mentions and casual commentary as of mid-July 2026, anchors trader focus on moderate activity levels for the July 20-22 window. Historical patterns show his output fluctuating sharply with news cycles, Tesla or SpaceX developments, and personal engagement rather than fixed schedules, creating tight competition among the 40-64, under-40, and 65-89 ranges. Weekday timing adds consistency but limited upside without major catalysts like earnings or launches. The close market-implied odds reflect this inherent variability, where even brief spikes in replies or threads can shift totals, underscoring the wisdom-of-crowds assessment of his unpredictable rhythm over any single narrative.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 20 12:00 PM ET to July 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日： Jul 18, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
音量
$63,300終了日
2026/07/22マーケット開始日
Jul 18, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 20 12:00 PM ET to July 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's recent posting pace on X, with multiple daily updates including product mentions and casual commentary as of mid-July 2026, anchors trader focus on moderate activity levels for the July 20-22 window. Historical patterns show his output fluctuating sharply with news cycles, Tesla or SpaceX developments, and personal engagement rather than fixed schedules, creating tight competition among the 40-64, under-40, and 65-89 ranges. Weekday timing adds consistency but limited upside without major catalysts like earnings or launches. The close market-implied odds reflect this inherent variability, where even brief spikes in replies or threads can shift totals, underscoring the wisdom-of-crowds assessment of his unpredictable rhythm over any single narrative.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 20 12:00 PM ET to July 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$63,300終了日
2026/07/22マーケット開始日
Jul 18, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk's recent posting pace on X, with multiple daily updates including product mentions and casual commentary as of mid-July 2026, anchors trader focus on moderate activity levels for the July 20-22 window. Historical patterns show his output fluctuating sharply with news cycles, Tesla or SpaceX developments, and personal engagement rather than fixed schedules, creating tight competition among the 40-64, under-40, and 65-89 ranges. Weekday timing adds consistency but limited upside without major catalysts like earnings or launches. The close market-implied odds reflect this inherent variability, where even brief spikes in replies or threads can shift totals, underscoring the wisdom-of-crowds assessment of his unpredictable rhythm over any single narrative.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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