Trader consensus on the Elon Musk tweet-count market has coalesced around the 180–219 range, driven by his established pattern of roughly 20 posts per day across X. This pace aligns with recent activity, including multiple updates on May 17 addressing X’s billion-download milestone, Grok AI enhancements, and cultural debates that typically spark extended threads and replies. Historical weekly totals for comparable mid-May periods hover in the low-to-mid 200s when business developments at Tesla, SpaceX, or xAI coincide with high-engagement commentary, giving traders a clear baseline. With three days remaining before the May 19 close, any fresh announcements or viral moments could push totals toward the upper end of the leading buckets or trigger a modest dip if posting slows.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日180-199 46.1%
200-219 34.2%
220-239 10.8%
160-179 4.0%
$9,698,615 Vol.
$9,698,615 Vol.
140-159
<1%
160-179
4%
180-199
46%
200-219
34%
220-239
11%
240-259
2%
260-279
1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 46.1%
200-219 34.2%
220-239 10.8%
160-179 4.0%
$9,698,615 Vol.
$9,698,615 Vol.
140-159
<1%
160-179
4%
180-199
46%
200-219
34%
220-239
11%
240-259
2%
260-279
1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日: May 9, 2026, 4:07 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the Elon Musk tweet-count market has coalesced around the 180–219 range, driven by his established pattern of roughly 20 posts per day across X. This pace aligns with recent activity, including multiple updates on May 17 addressing X’s billion-download milestone, Grok AI enhancements, and cultural debates that typically spark extended threads and replies. Historical weekly totals for comparable mid-May periods hover in the low-to-mid 200s when business developments at Tesla, SpaceX, or xAI coincide with high-engagement commentary, giving traders a clear baseline. With three days remaining before the May 19 close, any fresh announcements or viral moments could push totals toward the upper end of the leading buckets or trigger a modest dip if posting slows.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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