Skip to main content
icon for Elon Musk Muskが2026年5月にツイートしましたか?

Elon Musk Muskが2026年5月にツイートしましたか?

icon for Elon Musk Muskが2026年5月にツイートしましたか?

Elon Musk Muskが2026年5月にツイートしましたか?

6月 1

6月 1

880~919 11.3%

800〜839 11.1%

920〜959 9.9%

840~879 9.6%

Polymarket

$2,852,239 Vol.

880~919 11.3%

800〜839 11.1%

920〜959 9.9%

840~879 9.6%

Polymarket

$2,852,239 Vol.

340~359

$66,822 Vol.

<1%

360〜379

$55,291 Vol.

<1%

380~399

$57,812 Vol.

<1%

400〜419

$56,871 Vol.

<1%

420~439

$43,409 Vol.

<1%

440~459

$54,432 Vol.

<1%

460〜479

$63,198 Vol.

<1%

480~499

$58,382 Vol.

<1%

500〜519

$64,674 Vol.

<1%

520〜539

$51,516 Vol.

1%

540〜559

$45,189 Vol.

<1%

560~579

$42,961 Vol.

1%

580~599

$49,069 Vol.

1%

600〜619

$41,903 Vol.

1%

620〜639

$39,152 Vol.

1%

640〜659

$42,640 Vol.

1%

660〜679

$34,961 Vol.

2%

680~699

$30,349 Vol.

3%

700〜719

$44,707 Vol.

3%

720〜739

$45,672 Vol.

3%

740〜759

$38,760 Vol.

5%

760〜779

$39,699 Vol.

6%

780〜799

$42,736 Vol.

7%

800〜839

$45,942 Vol.

11%

840~879

$35,640 Vol.

10%

880~919

$38,178 Vol.

11%

920〜959

$36,726 Vol.

10%

960~999

$34,169 Vol.

6%

1000〜1039

$35,197 Vol.

4%

1040〜1079

$32,633 Vol.

3%

1080~1119

$38,561 Vol.

2%

1120〜1159

$49,572 Vol.

1%

1160~1199

$56,310 Vol.

<1%

1200~1239

$55,495 Vol.

<1%

1240~1279

$66,629 Vol.

<1%

1280〜1319

$58,982 Vol.

<1%

1320〜1359

$58,266 Vol.

<1%

1360〜1399

$43,201 Vol.

<1%

1400〜1439

$70,624 Vol.

<1%

1440~1479

$40,956 Vol.

<1%

1480~1519

$22,045 Vol.

<1%

1520〜1559

$26,710 Vol.

<1%

1560〜1599

$32,501 Vol.

<1%

1600〜1679

$39,619 Vol.

<1%

1680〜1759

$40,902 Vol.

<1%

1760〜1839

$34,463 Vol.

<1%

1840〜1919

$27,564 Vol.

<1%

1920~1999

$59,677 Vol.

<1%

2000件以上

$48,641 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders tracking Elon Musk's activity on X are pricing in his historically variable posting pace for the remainder of May 2026, with the tightest odds clustered around 800-919 tweets reflecting uncertainty over daily output. His engagement often spikes or dips based on business updates at Tesla and xAI, responses to news cycles, and platform interactions, creating closely matched probabilities across several mid-range brackets. Recent patterns show no single catalyst dominating sentiment, though ongoing company developments and public commentary continue to influence volume. The final weeks of the month remain key swing factors as any surge in announcements or reactions could shift totals noticeably before the period closes.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$2,852,239
終了日
2026/06/01
マーケット開始日
Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders tracking Elon Musk's activity on X are pricing in his historically variable posting pace for the remainder of May 2026, with the tightest odds clustered around 800-919 tweets reflecting uncertainty over daily output. His engagement often spikes or dips based on business updates at Tesla and xAI, responses to news cycles, and platform interactions, creating closely matched probabilities across several mid-range brackets. Recent patterns show no single catalyst dominating sentiment, though ongoing company developments and public commentary continue to influence volume. The final weeks of the month remain key swing factors as any surge in announcements or reactions could shift totals noticeably before the period closes.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$2,852,239
終了日
2026/06/01
マーケット開始日
Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Elon Musk Muskが2026年5月にツイートしましたか?」はPolymarket上の66+個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「800〜839」で11%、次いで「880~919」が11%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、11¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に11%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Elon Musk Muskが2026年5月にツイートしましたか?」は$2.9 millionの総取引量を生み出しています(Mar 24, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Elon Musk Muskが2026年5月にツイートしましたか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている66+個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Elon Musk Muskが2026年5月にツイートしましたか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「800〜839」で11%であり、市場がこの結果に11%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「880~919」で11%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Elon Musk Muskが2026年5月にツイートしましたか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。