Rockstar Games’ official delay of Grand Theft Auto VI to November 19, 2026, announced in November 2025 after an earlier shift from May, has solidified trader consensus that the open-world title will miss any pre-June window. The developer cited the need for additional polish on the sprawling Vice City setting and modern-day Leonida, consistent with its track record of prioritizing quality over rushed launches. With the current date now in mid-May 2026 and no signs of an accelerated final certification or surprise drop, the market-implied odds reflect overwhelming confidence in the confirmed timeline. A realistic upset would require Rockstar to abandon its stated approach entirely, perhaps by pushing a limited early access build weeks ahead of schedule—an outcome industry observers view as highly improbable given historical patterns and ongoing development reports.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日GTA VIは2026年6月以前にリリースされましたか？
GTA VIは2026年6月以前にリリースされましたか？
はい
$14,314,663 Vol.
$14,314,663 Vol.
2026/05/31
はい
$14,314,663 Vol.
$14,314,663 Vol.
2026/05/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.Rockstar Games’ official delay of Grand Theft Auto VI to November 19, 2026, announced in November 2025 after an earlier shift from May, has solidified trader consensus that the open-world title will miss any pre-June window. The developer cited the need for additional polish on the sprawling Vice City setting and modern-day Leonida, consistent with its track record of prioritizing quality over rushed launches. With the current date now in mid-May 2026 and no signs of an accelerated final certification or surprise drop, the market-implied odds reflect overwhelming confidence in the confirmed timeline. A realistic upset would require Rockstar to abandon its stated approach entirely, perhaps by pushing a limited early access build weeks ahead of schedule—an outcome industry observers view as highly improbable given historical patterns and ongoing development reports.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.
マーケット開始日： May 2, 2025, 12:59 PM ET
音量
$14,314,663終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
May 2, 2025, 12:59 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.Rockstar Games’ official delay of Grand Theft Auto VI to November 19, 2026, announced in November 2025 after an earlier shift from May, has solidified trader consensus that the open-world title will miss any pre-June window. The developer cited the need for additional polish on the sprawling Vice City setting and modern-day Leonida, consistent with its track record of prioritizing quality over rushed launches. With the current date now in mid-May 2026 and no signs of an accelerated final certification or surprise drop, the market-implied odds reflect overwhelming confidence in the confirmed timeline. A realistic upset would require Rockstar to abandon its stated approach entirely, perhaps by pushing a limited early access build weeks ahead of schedule—an outcome industry observers view as highly improbable given historical patterns and ongoing development reports.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.
音量
$14,314,663終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
May 2, 2025, 12:59 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...Rockstar Games’ official delay of Grand Theft Auto VI to November 19, 2026, announced in November 2025 after an earlier shift from May, has solidified trader consensus that the open-world title will miss any pre-June window. The developer cited the need for additional polish on the sprawling Vice City setting and modern-day Leonida, consistent with its track record of prioritizing quality over rushed launches. With the current date now in mid-May 2026 and no signs of an accelerated final certification or surprise drop, the market-implied odds reflect overwhelming confidence in the confirmed timeline. A realistic upset would require Rockstar to abandon its stated approach entirely, perhaps by pushing a limited early access build weeks ahead of schedule—an outcome industry observers view as highly improbable given historical patterns and ongoing development reports.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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