Traders are concentrating bets on the 200-219 tweet range for Elon Musk this week, driven by his established pattern of high-volume posting on X during periods without major product launches or regulatory announcements. Recent activity shows steady output focused on AI developments, Tesla updates, and public commentary, keeping daily averages aligned with historical norms for mid-May. With the measurement window closing May 19, limited time remains for any last-minute spikes, though unexpected news could still shift the final tally. Market-implied odds reflect this consistent engagement trajectory rather than any single catalyst, underscoring how routine platform activity shapes the current consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日200-219 45.6%
220-239 33.0%
180-199 7.4%
260-279 6.6%
$9,928,706 Vol.
$9,928,706 Vol.
140-159
<1%
160-179
2%
180-199
7%
200-219
46%
220-239
33%
240-259
6%
260-279
7%
280-299
3%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
-
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
200-219 45.6%
220-239 33.0%
180-199 7.4%
260-279 6.6%
$9,928,706 Vol.
$9,928,706 Vol.
140-159
<1%
160-179
2%
180-199
7%
200-219
46%
220-239
33%
240-259
6%
260-279
7%
280-299
3%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
-
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日: May 9, 2026, 4:07 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders are concentrating bets on the 200-219 tweet range for Elon Musk this week, driven by his established pattern of high-volume posting on X during periods without major product launches or regulatory announcements. Recent activity shows steady output focused on AI developments, Tesla updates, and public commentary, keeping daily averages aligned with historical norms for mid-May. With the measurement window closing May 19, limited time remains for any last-minute spikes, though unexpected news could still shift the final tally. Market-implied odds reflect this consistent engagement trajectory rather than any single catalyst, underscoring how routine platform activity shapes the current consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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