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icon for イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年5月15日〜5月22日?

イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年5月15日〜5月22日?

icon for イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年5月15日〜5月22日?

イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年5月15日〜5月22日?

180~199 20%

200〜219 18.4%

160〜179 18%

220〜239 12.4%

Polymarket

$4,186,617 Vol.

180~199 20%

200〜219 18.4%

160〜179 18%

220〜239 12.4%

Polymarket

$4,186,617 Vol.

60~79

$258,849 Vol.

<1%

80~99

$249,159 Vol.

<1%

100〜119

$229,668 Vol.

1%

120〜139

$173,503 Vol.

4%

140~159

$155,681 Vol.

10%

160〜179

$130,920 Vol.

18%

180~199

$110,470 Vol.

20%

200〜219

$153,670 Vol.

18%

220〜239

$144,032 Vol.

12%

240~259

$107,548 Vol.

8%

260〜279

$114,881 Vol.

5%

280〜299

$104,446 Vol.

3%

300〜319

$131,132 Vol.

1%

320〜339

$109,416 Vol.

1%

340~359

$137,915 Vol.

1%

360〜379

$134,170 Vol.

<1%

380〜399

$150,638 Vol.

<1%

400〜419

$168,844 Vol.

<1%

420~439

$235,896 Vol.

<1%

440~459

$121,203 Vol.

<1%

460~479

$125,876 Vol.

<1%

480~499

$168,834 Vol.

<1%

500件以上

$269,821 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s X activity through mid-May has kept the 180-219 tweet range as the market’s tightest cluster, with traders pricing in his typical pace of 20-30 daily posts amid a relatively quiet news cycle for Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI. Recent days show steady engagement on platform governance and product updates rather than high-volume political threads, which historically spike his output. With five days remaining in the window, momentum hinges on whether any major announcements or controversies emerge to accelerate posting, or if the current measured rhythm continues. Traders are watching for shifts in real-time volume as the period closes, noting that Musk’s output can swing 50-100 tweets on breaking developments while staying anchored around 190-210 in calmer stretches.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$4,186,617
終了日
2026/05/22
マーケット開始日
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s X activity through mid-May has kept the 180-219 tweet range as the market’s tightest cluster, with traders pricing in his typical pace of 20-30 daily posts amid a relatively quiet news cycle for Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI. Recent days show steady engagement on platform governance and product updates rather than high-volume political threads, which historically spike his output. With five days remaining in the window, momentum hinges on whether any major announcements or controversies emerge to accelerate posting, or if the current measured rhythm continues. Traders are watching for shifts in real-time volume as the period closes, noting that Musk’s output can swing 50-100 tweets on breaking developments while staying anchored around 190-210 in calmer stretches.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$4,186,617
終了日
2026/05/22
マーケット開始日
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年5月15日〜5月22日?」はPolymarket上の26個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「180~199」で20%、次いで「160〜179」が18%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、20¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に20%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年5月15日〜5月22日?」は$4.2 millionの総取引量を生み出しています(May 12, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年5月15日〜5月22日?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている26個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年5月15日〜5月22日?」の現在のフロントランナーは「180~199」で20%であり、市場がこの結果に20%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「160〜179」で18%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年5月15日〜5月22日?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。