Elon Musk's elevated posting pace on X continues to anchor trader expectations for the May 16–18 window, with the 65–89 range holding a commanding 69.5% implied probability. His pattern of frequent replies, commentary on tech policy, space milestones, and cultural debates has produced sustained high-volume days, reinforced by recent threads on Grok features, Starship progress, and real-time reactions to viral topics. Historical daily averages during active periods routinely exceed 20–30 posts when engagement spikes, making the mid-60s to upper-80s band the clearest fit for a three-day stretch. With the window closing and no major disruption in his schedule, the market shows little momentum toward lower brackets, though an unusually quiet final day could still compress the total.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日65～89 77%
40～64 17%
90～114 4.5%
115〜139 <1%
$1,006,660 Vol.
$1,006,660 Vol.
2026/05/18
40未満
<1%
40～64
17%
65～89
77%
90～114
4%
115〜139
1%
140～164
<1%
165～189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65～89 77%
40～64 17%
90～114 4.5%
115〜139 <1%
$1,006,660 Vol.
$1,006,660 Vol.
2026/05/18
40未満
$345,776 Vol.
<1%
40～64
$119,867 Vol.
17%
65～89
$112,121 Vol.
77%
90～114
$145,856 Vol.
4%
115〜139
$109,978 Vol.
1%
140～164
$65,334 Vol.
<1%
165～189
$53,265 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$37,343 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$15,853 Vol.
<1%
240+
$19,735 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's elevated posting pace on X continues to anchor trader expectations for the May 16–18 window, with the 65–89 range holding a commanding 69.5% implied probability. His pattern of frequent replies, commentary on tech policy, space milestones, and cultural debates has produced sustained high-volume days, reinforced by recent threads on Grok features, Starship progress, and real-time reactions to viral topics. Historical daily averages during active periods routinely exceed 20–30 posts when engagement spikes, making the mid-60s to upper-80s band the clearest fit for a three-day stretch. With the window closing and no major disruption in his schedule, the market shows little momentum toward lower brackets, though an unusually quiet final day could still compress the total.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日： May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
音量
$1,006,660終了日
2026/05/18マーケット開始日
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's elevated posting pace on X continues to anchor trader expectations for the May 16–18 window, with the 65–89 range holding a commanding 69.5% implied probability. His pattern of frequent replies, commentary on tech policy, space milestones, and cultural debates has produced sustained high-volume days, reinforced by recent threads on Grok features, Starship progress, and real-time reactions to viral topics. Historical daily averages during active periods routinely exceed 20–30 posts when engagement spikes, making the mid-60s to upper-80s band the clearest fit for a three-day stretch. With the window closing and no major disruption in his schedule, the market shows little momentum toward lower brackets, though an unusually quiet final day could still compress the total.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$1,006,660終了日
2026/05/18マーケット開始日
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk's elevated posting pace on X continues to anchor trader expectations for the May 16–18 window, with the 65–89 range holding a commanding 69.5% implied probability. His pattern of frequent replies, commentary on tech policy, space milestones, and cultural debates has produced sustained high-volume days, reinforced by recent threads on Grok features, Starship progress, and real-time reactions to viral topics. Historical daily averages during active periods routinely exceed 20–30 posts when engagement spikes, making the mid-60s to upper-80s band the clearest fit for a three-day stretch. With the window closing and no major disruption in his schedule, the market shows little momentum toward lower brackets, though an unusually quiet final day could still compress the total.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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