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icon for イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年5月18日〜5月20日?

イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年5月18日〜5月20日?

icon for イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年5月18日〜5月20日?

イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年5月18日〜5月20日?

40~64 56%

65〜89 24%

40未満 17%

90〜114 5%

Polymarket
新規

$45,189 Vol.

40~64 56%

65〜89 24%

40未満 17%

90〜114 5%

Polymarket
新規

$45,189 Vol.

40未満

$2,530 Vol.

17%

40~64

$4,412 Vol.

56%

65〜89

$3,032 Vol.

24%

90〜114

$5,661 Vol.

5%

115〜139

$4,577 Vol.

1%

140〜164

$2,721 Vol.

<1%

165〜189

$4,547 Vol.

<1%

190〜214

$4,386 Vol.

<1%

215〜239

$6,516 Vol.

<1%

240以上

$6,806 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader sentiment positions the 40-64 tweet range as the dominant outcome for Elon Musk's activity on X from May 18-20, driven by his consistent mid-week posting cadence amid ongoing business and personal commentary. Historical patterns from recent months show Musk averaging roughly 15-20 daily posts, blending Tesla and SpaceX updates with real-time reactions, without sustained high-volume bursts unless tied to major events. This window lacks immediate catalysts like product launches or earnings that typically elevate counts, keeping totals in the moderate band favored by traders. Momentum could shift with any sudden viral thread or controversy, yet current data points to steady rather than extreme engagement through the period.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$45,189
終了日
2026/05/20
マーケット開始日
May 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ET

結算ソース

https://x.com/elonmusk
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader sentiment positions the 40-64 tweet range as the dominant outcome for Elon Musk's activity on X from May 18-20, driven by his consistent mid-week posting cadence amid ongoing business and personal commentary. Historical patterns from recent months show Musk averaging roughly 15-20 daily posts, blending Tesla and SpaceX updates with real-time reactions, without sustained high-volume bursts unless tied to major events. This window lacks immediate catalysts like product launches or earnings that typically elevate counts, keeping totals in the moderate band favored by traders. Momentum could shift with any sudden viral thread or controversy, yet current data points to steady rather than extreme engagement through the period.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$45,189
終了日
2026/05/20
マーケット開始日
May 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ET

結算ソース

https://x.com/elonmusk
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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よくある質問

「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年5月18日〜5月20日?」はPolymarket上の10個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「40~64」で56%、次いで「65〜89」が24%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、56¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に56%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年5月18日〜5月20日?」は$45.2Kの総取引量を生み出しています(May 16, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年5月18日〜5月20日?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている10個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年5月18日〜5月20日?」の現在のフロントランナーは「40~64」で56%であり、市場がこの結果に56%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「65〜89」で24%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年5月18日〜5月20日?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。