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icon for Elon Musk Muskが2026年5月にツイートしましたか?

Elon Musk Muskが2026年5月にツイートしましたか?

icon for Elon Musk Muskが2026年5月にツイートしましたか?

Elon Musk Muskが2026年5月にツイートしましたか?

6月 1

6月 1

840~879 12.2%

800〜839 10.6%

920〜959 9.8%

880~919 9.4%

Polymarket

$3,146,928 Vol.

840~879 12.2%

800〜839 10.6%

920〜959 9.8%

880~919 9.4%

Polymarket

$3,146,928 Vol.

340~359

$69,472 Vol.

<1%

360〜379

$55,291 Vol.

<1%

380~399

$58,220 Vol.

<1%

400〜419

$56,871 Vol.

<1%

420~439

$43,409 Vol.

<1%

440~459

$54,448 Vol.

<1%

460〜479

$63,303 Vol.

<1%

480~499

$58,382 Vol.

<1%

500〜519

$64,925 Vol.

<1%

520〜539

$53,161 Vol.

<1%

540〜559

$45,810 Vol.

1%

560~579

$43,735 Vol.

1%

580~599

$49,462 Vol.

1%

600〜619

$43,146 Vol.

1%

620〜639

$39,650 Vol.

1%

640〜659

$44,359 Vol.

2%

660〜679

$38,150 Vol.

2%

680~699

$34,392 Vol.

2%

700〜719

$46,047 Vol.

4%

720〜739

$47,380 Vol.

3%

740〜759

$39,168 Vol.

6%

760〜779

$39,907 Vol.

6%

780〜799

$43,195 Vol.

7%

800〜839

$46,099 Vol.

11%

840~879

$36,291 Vol.

12%

880~919

$40,160 Vol.

9%

920〜959

$37,453 Vol.

10%

960~999

$35,340 Vol.

8%

1000〜1039

$36,121 Vol.

5%

1040〜1079

$33,379 Vol.

4%

1080~1119

$40,136 Vol.

2%

1120〜1159

$50,723 Vol.

1%

1160~1199

$56,655 Vol.

<1%

1200~1239

$55,495 Vol.

<1%

1240~1279

$67,489 Vol.

<1%

1280〜1319

$59,982 Vol.

<1%

1320〜1359

$59,746 Vol.

<1%

1360〜1399

$44,609 Vol.

<1%

1400〜1439

$74,110 Vol.

<1%

1440~1479

$45,365 Vol.

<1%

1480~1519

$25,045 Vol.

<1%

1520〜1559

$27,191 Vol.

<1%

1560〜1599

$32,981 Vol.

<1%

1600〜1679

$39,619 Vol.

<1%

1680〜1759

$40,902 Vol.

<1%

1760〜1839

$34,463 Vol.

<1%

1840〜1919

$27,564 Vol.

<1%

1920~1999

$62,382 Vol.

<1%

2000件以上

$292,699 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s established X posting rhythm and early May 2026 activity levels are anchoring trader consensus around the 800–900 tweet range. With the leading bins tightly clustered, markets are pricing in his recent daily average of roughly 25–30 posts while weighing potential surges from Tesla product updates, xAI milestones, or breaking political commentary against possible slowdowns during travel or focused operational stretches. Historical monthly totals and the remaining two weeks of the period serve as the primary swing factors, as traders monitor whether engagement spikes or quieter stretches push the final count into adjacent bins.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$3,146,928
終了日
2026/06/01
マーケット開始日
Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s established X posting rhythm and early May 2026 activity levels are anchoring trader consensus around the 800–900 tweet range. With the leading bins tightly clustered, markets are pricing in his recent daily average of roughly 25–30 posts while weighing potential surges from Tesla product updates, xAI milestones, or breaking political commentary against possible slowdowns during travel or focused operational stretches. Historical monthly totals and the remaining two weeks of the period serve as the primary swing factors, as traders monitor whether engagement spikes or quieter stretches push the final count into adjacent bins.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$3,146,928
終了日
2026/06/01
マーケット開始日
Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Elon Musk Muskが2026年5月にツイートしましたか?」はPolymarket上の66+個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「840~879」で12%、次いで「800〜839」が11%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、12¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に12%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Elon Musk Muskが2026年5月にツイートしましたか?」は$3.1 millionの総取引量を生み出しています(Mar 24, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Elon Musk Muskが2026年5月にツイートしましたか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている66+個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Elon Musk Muskが2026年5月にツイートしましたか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「840~879」で12%であり、市場がこの結果に12%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「800〜839」で11%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Elon Musk Muskが2026年5月にツイートしましたか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。