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icon for Elon Musk Muskが2026年5月にツイートしましたか?

Elon Musk Muskが2026年5月にツイートしましたか?

icon for Elon Musk Muskが2026年5月にツイートしましたか?

Elon Musk Muskが2026年5月にツイートしましたか?

6月 1

6月 1

840~879 11.6%

800〜839 10.6%

920〜959 10.1%

880~919 9.4%

Polymarket

$3,175,578 Vol.

840~879 11.6%

800〜839 10.6%

920〜959 10.1%

880~919 9.4%

Polymarket

$3,175,578 Vol.

340~359

$69,472 Vol.

<1%

360〜379

$55,291 Vol.

<1%

380~399

$58,220 Vol.

<1%

400〜419

$56,871 Vol.

<1%

420~439

$43,409 Vol.

<1%

440~459

$61,973 Vol.

<1%

460〜479

$66,613 Vol.

<1%

480~499

$60,614 Vol.

<1%

500〜519

$64,925 Vol.

<1%

520〜539

$53,474 Vol.

<1%

540〜559

$45,810 Vol.

1%

560~579

$43,735 Vol.

1%

580~599

$49,564 Vol.

1%

600〜619

$43,146 Vol.

1%

620〜639

$39,733 Vol.

1%

640〜659

$44,359 Vol.

2%

660〜679

$39,178 Vol.

3%

680~699

$35,435 Vol.

3%

700〜719

$46,112 Vol.

4%

720〜739

$48,036 Vol.

4%

740〜759

$40,199 Vol.

5%

760〜779

$41,089 Vol.

5%

780〜799

$44,003 Vol.

7%

800〜839

$46,130 Vol.

11%

840~879

$36,714 Vol.

12%

880~919

$40,385 Vol.

9%

920〜959

$37,738 Vol.

10%

960~999

$35,456 Vol.

9%

1000〜1039

$36,401 Vol.

5%

1040〜1079

$33,504 Vol.

4%

1080~1119

$40,431 Vol.

2%

1120〜1159

$50,754 Vol.

1%

1160~1199

$57,155 Vol.

<1%

1200~1239

$55,832 Vol.

<1%

1240~1279

$67,489 Vol.

<1%

1280〜1319

$59,982 Vol.

<1%

1320〜1359

$59,746 Vol.

<1%

1360〜1399

$44,609 Vol.

<1%

1400〜1439

$74,304 Vol.

<1%

1440~1479

$45,365 Vol.

<1%

1480~1519

$25,045 Vol.

<1%

1520〜1559

$27,191 Vol.

<1%

1560〜1599

$32,981 Vol.

<1%

1600〜1679

$39,619 Vol.

<1%

1680〜1759

$40,902 Vol.

<1%

1760〜1839

$34,463 Vol.

<1%

1840〜1919

$27,564 Vol.

<1%

1920~1999

$66,382 Vol.

<1%

2000件以上

$296,759 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Musk’s elevated posting pace on X this month, fueled by ongoing commentary around Tesla’s Full Self-Driving updates, Starship progress, and broader tech-political debates, has shaped trader views on his May total. The tight clustering around the 800–960 range reflects uncertainty over whether his daily rhythm will hold steady or accelerate with fresh product announcements and real-time reactions. Historical patterns show Musk’s volume often spikes during major Tesla or SpaceX milestones yet can dip amid travel or focused work, leaving the mid-month window as the key swing factor for final resolution.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$3,175,578
終了日
2026/06/01
マーケット開始日
Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Musk’s elevated posting pace on X this month, fueled by ongoing commentary around Tesla’s Full Self-Driving updates, Starship progress, and broader tech-political debates, has shaped trader views on his May total. The tight clustering around the 800–960 range reflects uncertainty over whether his daily rhythm will hold steady or accelerate with fresh product announcements and real-time reactions. Historical patterns show Musk’s volume often spikes during major Tesla or SpaceX milestones yet can dip amid travel or focused work, leaving the mid-month window as the key swing factor for final resolution.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$3,175,578
終了日
2026/06/01
マーケット開始日
Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Elon Musk Muskが2026年5月にツイートしましたか?」はPolymarket上の66+個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「840~879」で12%、次いで「800〜839」が11%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、12¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に12%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Elon Musk Muskが2026年5月にツイートしましたか?」は$3.2 millionの総取引量を生み出しています(Mar 24, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Elon Musk Muskが2026年5月にツイートしましたか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている66+個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Elon Musk Muskが2026年5月にツイートしましたか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「840~879」で12%であり、市場がこの結果に12%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「800〜839」で11%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Elon Musk Muskが2026年5月にツイートしましたか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。