Elon Musk’s elevated posting rhythm through mid-May 2026 has created a tight cluster of market-implied odds around the 800–960 tweet range, reflecting traders’ focus on his consistent daily output amid ongoing Tesla updates, X platform milestones, and cultural commentary. Recent activity, including multiple posts on simulation theory, casting debates in European literature, and X surpassing one billion downloads, has reinforced expectations of sustained volume rather than a slowdown. The closely matched contenders highlight sensitivity to daily fluctuations, with key differentiators being major product announcements or high-engagement topics that historically boost output versus quieter periods. Remaining May developments in tech and media stand as the primary catalysts that could shift the final tally before month-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日840～879 11.5%
800〜839 10.5%
920〜959 10.0%
960～999 8.8%
$3,160,973 Vol.
$3,160,973 Vol.
340～359
<1%
360〜379
<1%
380～399
<1%
400〜419
<1%
420～439
<1%
440～459
<1%
460〜479
<1%
480～499
<1%
500〜519
<1%
520〜539
<1%
540〜559
1%
560～579
1%
580～599
1%
600〜619
1%
620〜639
1%
640〜659
2%
660〜679
3%
680～699
3%
700〜719
6%
720〜739
4%
740〜759
5%
760〜779
5%
780〜799
6%
800〜839
10%
840～879
12%
880～919
6%
920〜959
10%
960～999
9%
1000〜1039
5%
1040〜1079
4%
1080～1119
2%
1120〜1159
1%
1160～1199
<1%
1200～1239
<1%
1240～1279
<1%
1280〜1319
<1%
1320〜1359
<1%
1360〜1399
<1%
1400〜1439
<1%
1440～1479
<1%
1480～1519
<1%
1520〜1559
<1%
1560〜1599
<1%
1600〜1679
<1%
1680〜1759
<1%
1760〜1839
<1%
1840〜1919
<1%
1920～1999
<1%
2000件以上
<1%
840～879 11.5%
800〜839 10.5%
920〜959 10.0%
960～999 8.8%
$3,160,973 Vol.
$3,160,973 Vol.
340～359
<1%
360〜379
<1%
380～399
<1%
400〜419
<1%
420～439
<1%
440～459
<1%
460〜479
<1%
480～499
<1%
500〜519
<1%
520〜539
<1%
540〜559
1%
560～579
1%
580～599
1%
600〜619
1%
620〜639
1%
640〜659
2%
660〜679
3%
680～699
3%
700〜719
6%
720〜739
4%
740〜759
5%
760〜779
5%
780〜799
6%
800〜839
10%
840～879
12%
880～919
6%
920〜959
10%
960～999
9%
1000〜1039
5%
1040〜1079
4%
1080～1119
2%
1120〜1159
1%
1160～1199
<1%
1200～1239
<1%
1240～1279
<1%
1280〜1319
<1%
1320〜1359
<1%
1360〜1399
<1%
1400〜1439
<1%
1440～1479
<1%
1480～1519
<1%
1520〜1559
<1%
1560〜1599
<1%
1600〜1679
<1%
1680〜1759
<1%
1760〜1839
<1%
1840〜1919
<1%
1920～1999
<1%
2000件以上
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日： Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s elevated posting rhythm through mid-May 2026 has created a tight cluster of market-implied odds around the 800–960 tweet range, reflecting traders’ focus on his consistent daily output amid ongoing Tesla updates, X platform milestones, and cultural commentary. Recent activity, including multiple posts on simulation theory, casting debates in European literature, and X surpassing one billion downloads, has reinforced expectations of sustained volume rather than a slowdown. The closely matched contenders highlight sensitivity to daily fluctuations, with key differentiators being major product announcements or high-engagement topics that historically boost output versus quieter periods. Remaining May developments in tech and media stand as the primary catalysts that could shift the final tally before month-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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