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icon for Elon Musk Muskが2026年5月にツイートしましたか?

Elon Musk Muskが2026年5月にツイートしましたか?

icon for Elon Musk Muskが2026年5月にツイートしましたか?

Elon Musk Muskが2026年5月にツイートしましたか?

6月 1

6月 1

840~879 11.4%

800〜839 10.4%

920〜959 9.8%

880~919 9.4%

Polymarket

$3,152,186 Vol.

840~879 11.4%

800〜839 10.4%

920〜959 9.8%

880~919 9.4%

Polymarket

$3,152,186 Vol.

340~359

$69,472 Vol.

<1%

360〜379

$55,291 Vol.

<1%

380~399

$58,220 Vol.

<1%

400〜419

$56,871 Vol.

<1%

420~439

$43,409 Vol.

<1%

440~459

$54,448 Vol.

<1%

460〜479

$63,303 Vol.

<1%

480~499

$58,581 Vol.

<1%

500〜519

$64,925 Vol.

<1%

520〜539

$53,161 Vol.

<1%

540〜559

$45,810 Vol.

1%

560~579

$43,735 Vol.

1%

580~599

$49,462 Vol.

1%

600〜619

$43,146 Vol.

1%

620〜639

$39,705 Vol.

1%

640〜659

$44,359 Vol.

2%

660〜679

$38,575 Vol.

2%

680~699

$35,141 Vol.

4%

700〜719

$46,112 Vol.

4%

720〜739

$48,036 Vol.

4%

740〜759

$39,927 Vol.

5%

760〜779

$41,056 Vol.

5%

780〜799

$43,977 Vol.

7%

800〜839

$46,114 Vol.

10%

840~879

$36,714 Vol.

11%

880~919

$40,160 Vol.

9%

920〜959

$37,623 Vol.

10%

960~999

$35,340 Vol.

8%

1000〜1039

$36,401 Vol.

5%

1040〜1079

$33,379 Vol.

4%

1080~1119

$40,136 Vol.

2%

1120〜1159

$50,723 Vol.

1%

1160~1199

$56,655 Vol.

<1%

1200~1239

$55,495 Vol.

<1%

1240~1279

$67,489 Vol.

<1%

1280〜1319

$59,982 Vol.

<1%

1320〜1359

$59,746 Vol.

<1%

1360〜1399

$44,609 Vol.

<1%

1400〜1439

$74,304 Vol.

<1%

1440~1479

$45,365 Vol.

<1%

1480~1519

$25,045 Vol.

<1%

1520〜1559

$27,191 Vol.

<1%

1560〜1599

$32,981 Vol.

<1%

1600〜1679

$39,619 Vol.

<1%

1680〜1759

$40,902 Vol.

<1%

1760〜1839

$34,463 Vol.

<1%

1840〜1919

$27,564 Vol.

<1%

1920~1999

$62,382 Vol.

<1%

2000件以上

$292,699 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's posting frequency on X has kept the May 2026 tweet-count market tightly bunched around the 800–960 range, with no single bin pulling a decisive lead. Traders are weighing his established pattern of 25–30 daily posts during active business periods against potential slowdowns tied to Tesla and xAI commitments or faster spikes during high-profile news cycles. Recent platform activity shows steady commentary on technology and policy without major interruptions, while historical May volumes and ongoing global events continue to shape expectations. Upcoming product updates or regulatory developments could quickly alter daily output and shift sentiment among active positions.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$3,152,186
終了日
2026/06/01
マーケット開始日
Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's posting frequency on X has kept the May 2026 tweet-count market tightly bunched around the 800–960 range, with no single bin pulling a decisive lead. Traders are weighing his established pattern of 25–30 daily posts during active business periods against potential slowdowns tied to Tesla and xAI commitments or faster spikes during high-profile news cycles. Recent platform activity shows steady commentary on technology and policy without major interruptions, while historical May volumes and ongoing global events continue to shape expectations. Upcoming product updates or regulatory developments could quickly alter daily output and shift sentiment among active positions.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$3,152,186
終了日
2026/06/01
マーケット開始日
Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Elon Musk Muskが2026年5月にツイートしましたか?」はPolymarket上の66+個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「840~879」で11%、次いで「800〜839」が10%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、11¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に11%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Elon Musk Muskが2026年5月にツイートしましたか?」は$3.2 millionの総取引量を生み出しています(Mar 24, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Elon Musk Muskが2026年5月にツイートしましたか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている66+個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Elon Musk Muskが2026年5月にツイートしましたか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「840~879」で11%であり、市場がこの結果に11%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「800〜839」で10%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Elon Musk Muskが2026年5月にツイートしましたか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。