Traders see a tightly contested field for Elon Musk’s May 2026 tweet total, with the top buckets clustered between 10% and 12% implied probability, underscoring how variable his posting pace remains. Recent platform changes, ongoing business commitments at Tesla and SpaceX, and fluctuating news cycles have historically driven daily output swings that make precise monthly projections difficult even mid-month. With the period now more than halfway complete, any surge tied to major announcements or quieter stretches could still push the final count across several neighboring ranges, keeping the market fluid.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日840～879 11.8%
800〜839 10.5%
920〜959 9.8%
880～919 9.4%
$3,151,222 Vol.
$3,151,222 Vol.
2026/06/01
340～359
<1%
360〜379
<1%
380～399
<1%
400〜419
<1%
420～439
<1%
440～459
<1%
460〜479
<1%
480～499
<1%
500〜519
<1%
520〜539
<1%
540〜559
1%
560～579
1%
580～599
1%
600〜619
1%
620〜639
1%
640〜659
2%
660〜679
2%
680～699
3%
700〜719
4%
720〜739
4%
740〜759
6%
760〜779
5%
780〜799
7%
800〜839
10%
840～879
12%
880～919
9%
920〜959
10%
960～999
8%
1000〜1039
5%
1040〜1079
4%
1080～1119
2%
1120〜1159
1%
1160～1199
<1%
1200～1239
<1%
1240～1279
<1%
1280〜1319
<1%
1320〜1359
<1%
1360〜1399
<1%
1400〜1439
<1%
1440～1479
<1%
1480～1519
<1%
1520〜1559
<1%
1560〜1599
<1%
1600〜1679
<1%
1680〜1759
<1%
1760〜1839
<1%
1840〜1919
<1%
1920～1999
<1%
2000件以上
<1%
840～879 11.8%
800〜839 10.5%
920〜959 9.8%
880～919 9.4%
$3,151,222 Vol.
$3,151,222 Vol.
2026/06/01
340～359
$69,472 Vol.
<1%
360〜379
$55,291 Vol.
<1%
380～399
$58,220 Vol.
<1%
400〜419
$56,871 Vol.
<1%
420～439
$43,409 Vol.
<1%
440～459
$54,448 Vol.
<1%
460〜479
$63,303 Vol.
<1%
480～499
$58,382 Vol.
<1%
500〜519
$64,925 Vol.
<1%
520〜539
$53,161 Vol.
<1%
540〜559
$45,810 Vol.
1%
560～579
$43,735 Vol.
1%
580～599
$49,462 Vol.
1%
600〜619
$43,146 Vol.
1%
620〜639
$39,650 Vol.
1%
640〜659
$44,359 Vol.
2%
660〜679
$38,150 Vol.
2%
680～699
$34,878 Vol.
3%
700〜719
$46,047 Vol.
4%
720〜739
$48,036 Vol.
4%
740〜759
$39,816 Vol.
6%
760〜779
$41,038 Vol.
5%
780〜799
$43,951 Vol.
7%
800〜839
$46,099 Vol.
10%
840～879
$36,714 Vol.
12%
880～919
$40,160 Vol.
9%
920〜959
$37,623 Vol.
10%
960～999
$35,340 Vol.
8%
1000〜1039
$36,121 Vol.
5%
1040〜1079
$33,379 Vol.
4%
1080～1119
$40,136 Vol.
2%
1120〜1159
$50,723 Vol.
1%
1160～1199
$56,655 Vol.
<1%
1200～1239
$55,495 Vol.
<1%
1240～1279
$67,489 Vol.
<1%
1280〜1319
$59,982 Vol.
<1%
1320〜1359
$59,746 Vol.
<1%
1360〜1399
$44,609 Vol.
<1%
1400〜1439
$74,110 Vol.
<1%
1440～1479
$45,365 Vol.
<1%
1480～1519
$25,045 Vol.
<1%
1520〜1559
$27,191 Vol.
<1%
1560〜1599
$32,981 Vol.
<1%
1600〜1679
$39,619 Vol.
<1%
1680〜1759
$40,902 Vol.
<1%
1760〜1839
$34,463 Vol.
<1%
1840〜1919
$27,564 Vol.
<1%
1920～1999
$62,382 Vol.
<1%
2000件以上
$292,699 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see a tightly contested field for Elon Musk’s May 2026 tweet total, with the top buckets clustered between 10% and 12% implied probability, underscoring how variable his posting pace remains. Recent platform changes, ongoing business commitments at Tesla and SpaceX, and fluctuating news cycles have historically driven daily output swings that make precise monthly projections difficult even mid-month. With the period now more than halfway complete, any surge tied to major announcements or quieter stretches could still push the final count across several neighboring ranges, keeping the market fluid.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日： Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
音量
$3,151,222終了日
2026/06/01マーケット開始日
Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see a tightly contested field for Elon Musk’s May 2026 tweet total, with the top buckets clustered between 10% and 12% implied probability, underscoring how variable his posting pace remains. Recent platform changes, ongoing business commitments at Tesla and SpaceX, and fluctuating news cycles have historically driven daily output swings that make precise monthly projections difficult even mid-month. With the period now more than halfway complete, any surge tied to major announcements or quieter stretches could still push the final count across several neighboring ranges, keeping the market fluid.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$3,151,222終了日
2026/06/01マーケット開始日
Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see a tightly contested field for Elon Musk’s May 2026 tweet total, with the top buckets clustered between 10% and 12% implied probability, underscoring how variable his posting pace remains. Recent platform changes, ongoing business commitments at Tesla and SpaceX, and fluctuating news cycles have historically driven daily output swings that make precise monthly projections difficult even mid-month. With the period now more than halfway complete, any surge tied to major announcements or quieter stretches could still push the final count across several neighboring ranges, keeping the market fluid.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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