Elon Musk’s posting cadence on X remains the dominant force shaping trader expectations for his total May 2026 output, with recent weeks showing steady but variable daily volumes driven by Tesla FSD updates, Starship milestones, and AI commentary. Market positioning around the 840–959 range reflects his established pattern of 8–15 original posts per day punctuated by reply threads and media shares that can push weekly totals above 200, a rhythm consistent with 2025–2026 tracking data. Close probabilities across adjacent brackets underscore the inherent volatility, as any high-profile announcement or controversy could accelerate activity while quieter stretches pull counts lower. With roughly two weeks left in the month, fresh product reveals or regulatory news stand as the clearest swing factors that could shift the current consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日840～879 11.5%
800〜839 10.6%
920〜959 10.0%
880～919 9.3%
$3,161,835 Vol.
$3,161,835 Vol.
340～359
<1%
360〜379
<1%
380～399
<1%
400〜419
<1%
420～439
<1%
440～459
<1%
460〜479
<1%
480～499
<1%
500〜519
<1%
520〜539
<1%
540〜559
1%
560～579
1%
580～599
1%
600〜619
1%
620〜639
1%
640〜659
2%
660〜679
3%
680～699
3%
700〜719
4%
720〜739
4%
740〜759
5%
760〜779
5%
780〜799
6%
800〜839
11%
840～879
12%
880～919
9%
920〜959
10%
960～999
9%
1000〜1039
5%
1040〜1079
4%
1080～1119
2%
1120〜1159
1%
1160～1199
<1%
1200～1239
<1%
1240～1279
<1%
1280〜1319
<1%
1320〜1359
<1%
1360〜1399
<1%
1400〜1439
<1%
1440～1479
<1%
1480～1519
<1%
1520〜1559
<1%
1560〜1599
<1%
1600〜1679
<1%
1680〜1759
<1%
1760〜1839
<1%
1840〜1919
<1%
1920～1999
<1%
2000件以上
<1%
840～879 11.5%
800〜839 10.6%
920〜959 10.0%
880～919 9.3%
$3,161,835 Vol.
$3,161,835 Vol.
340～359
<1%
360〜379
<1%
380～399
<1%
400〜419
<1%
420～439
<1%
440～459
<1%
460〜479
<1%
480～499
<1%
500〜519
<1%
520〜539
<1%
540〜559
1%
560～579
1%
580～599
1%
600〜619
1%
620〜639
1%
640〜659
2%
660〜679
3%
680～699
3%
700〜719
4%
720〜739
4%
740〜759
5%
760〜779
5%
780〜799
6%
800〜839
11%
840～879
12%
880～919
9%
920〜959
10%
960～999
9%
1000〜1039
5%
1040〜1079
4%
1080～1119
2%
1120〜1159
1%
1160～1199
<1%
1200～1239
<1%
1240～1279
<1%
1280〜1319
<1%
1320〜1359
<1%
1360〜1399
<1%
1400〜1439
<1%
1440～1479
<1%
1480～1519
<1%
1520〜1559
<1%
1560〜1599
<1%
1600〜1679
<1%
1680〜1759
<1%
1760〜1839
<1%
1840〜1919
<1%
1920～1999
<1%
2000件以上
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日： Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s posting cadence on X remains the dominant force shaping trader expectations for his total May 2026 output, with recent weeks showing steady but variable daily volumes driven by Tesla FSD updates, Starship milestones, and AI commentary. Market positioning around the 840–959 range reflects his established pattern of 8–15 original posts per day punctuated by reply threads and media shares that can push weekly totals above 200, a rhythm consistent with 2025–2026 tracking data. Close probabilities across adjacent brackets underscore the inherent volatility, as any high-profile announcement or controversy could accelerate activity while quieter stretches pull counts lower. With roughly two weeks left in the month, fresh product reveals or regulatory news stand as the clearest swing factors that could shift the current consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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