Bulgaria's surprise victory in the May 16 Vienna grand final reshaped trader expectations for Eurovision 2026's top 5, as the country's entry surged past pre-final frontrunners through strong televote momentum and distinctive staging. Israel, Romania, Australia, and Italy secured the remaining spots amid intense jury-televote splits, with Australia's Delta Goodrem delivering a polished pop performance and Israel's ballad maintaining public appeal despite controversies. Semi-final qualifiers from May 12 and 14, combined with rehearsal buzz around high-energy entries like Finland's violin-driven track, had earlier elevated certain contenders on Polymarket. Upcoming chart data and official EBU point breakdowns will now clarify how late running-order advantages and audience engagement influenced the final standings.