Mercedes leads the 2026 Constructors' Championship with 262 points to Ferrari's 190 and McLaren's 141, reflecting a substantial mid-season advantage that underpins the 84% implied probability in trader consensus. The Silver Arrows have excelled under the new regulations through superior power unit optimization and energy management, allowing Kimi Antonelli and George Russell to deliver consistent podiums and wins while customer teams lag in deployment efficiency. Ferrari has narrowed the gap via recent upgrades and Lewis Hamilton's Barcelona victory, yet trails meaningfully. McLaren and Red Bull remain competitive in isolated races but lack the sustained pace or reliability to challenge the leaders over remaining grands prix, with lower probabilities aligning with current form and points gaps.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Mercedes 83%
Ferrari 12.8%
McLaren 2.5%
Red Bull Racing <1%
$25,816,860 Vol.
$25,816,860 Vol.
2026/12/06
Mercedes
83%
Ferrari
13%
McLaren
2%
Red Bull Racing
1%
Williams
<1%
Aston Martin
<1%
Audi
<1%
Cadillac
<1%
Racing Bulls
<1%
Haas
<1%
Alpine
<1%
Mercedes 83%
Ferrari 12.8%
McLaren 2.5%
Red Bull Racing <1%
$25,816,860 Vol.
$25,816,860 Vol.
2026/12/06
Mercedes
$831,115 Vol.
83%
Ferrari
$533,629 Vol.
13%
McLaren
$1,614,663 Vol.
2%
Red Bull Racing
$702,298 Vol.
1%
Williams
$3,577,976 Vol.
<1%
Aston Martin
$2,923,957 Vol.
<1%
Audi
$2,967,187 Vol.
<1%
Cadillac
$3,499,044 Vol.
<1%
Racing Bulls
$2,950,648 Vol.
<1%
Haas
$3,079,574 Vol.
<1%
Alpine
$3,136,771 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.Mercedes leads the 2026 Constructors' Championship with 262 points to Ferrari's 190 and McLaren's 141, reflecting a substantial mid-season advantage that underpins the 84% implied probability in trader consensus. The Silver Arrows have excelled under the new regulations through superior power unit optimization and energy management, allowing Kimi Antonelli and George Russell to deliver consistent podiums and wins while customer teams lag in deployment efficiency. Ferrari has narrowed the gap via recent upgrades and Lewis Hamilton's Barcelona victory, yet trails meaningfully. McLaren and Red Bull remain competitive in isolated races but lack the sustained pace or reliability to challenge the leaders over remaining grands prix, with lower probabilities aligning with current form and points gaps.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
マーケット開始日： Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
音量
$25,816,860終了日
2026/12/06マーケット開始日
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.Mercedes leads the 2026 Constructors' Championship with 262 points to Ferrari's 190 and McLaren's 141, reflecting a substantial mid-season advantage that underpins the 84% implied probability in trader consensus. The Silver Arrows have excelled under the new regulations through superior power unit optimization and energy management, allowing Kimi Antonelli and George Russell to deliver consistent podiums and wins while customer teams lag in deployment efficiency. Ferrari has narrowed the gap via recent upgrades and Lewis Hamilton's Barcelona victory, yet trails meaningfully. McLaren and Red Bull remain competitive in isolated races but lack the sustained pace or reliability to challenge the leaders over remaining grands prix, with lower probabilities aligning with current form and points gaps.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
音量
$25,816,860終了日
2026/12/06マーケット開始日
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes leads the 2026 Constructors' Championship with 262 points to Ferrari's 190 and McLaren's 141, reflecting a substantial mid-season advantage that underpins the 84% implied probability in trader consensus. The Silver Arrows have excelled under the new regulations through superior power unit optimization and energy management, allowing Kimi Antonelli and George Russell to deliver consistent podiums and wins while customer teams lag in deployment efficiency. Ferrari has narrowed the gap via recent upgrades and Lewis Hamilton's Barcelona victory, yet trails meaningfully. McLaren and Red Bull remain competitive in isolated races but lack the sustained pace or reliability to challenge the leaders over remaining grands prix, with lower probabilities aligning with current form and points gaps.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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