Rockstar Games' official confirmation of a November 19, 2026 console launch date, following multiple prior delays from a 2025 target through a brief May 2026 window, underpins the market's overwhelming 97.3% consensus on "No." Take-Two Interactive's CEO has repeatedly affirmed this timeline in earnings calls with no indications of slippage, aligning with Rockstar's pattern of locking in dates only when polish is assured. Recent trailer updates and marketing momentum further signal the studio's commitment. A realistic upset would require an unforeseen eleventh-hour delay announcement due to technical issues, though the proximity to launch and executive messaging make that outcome improbable at this stage.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日GTA VI released before November 2026?
GTA VI released before November 2026?
3% 確率
$36,258 Vol.
$36,258 Vol.
2026/10/31
3% 確率
$36,258 Vol.
$36,258 Vol.
2026/10/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.Rockstar Games' official confirmation of a November 19, 2026 console launch date, following multiple prior delays from a 2025 target through a brief May 2026 window, underpins the market's overwhelming 97.3% consensus on "No." Take-Two Interactive's CEO has repeatedly affirmed this timeline in earnings calls with no indications of slippage, aligning with Rockstar's pattern of locking in dates only when polish is assured. Recent trailer updates and marketing momentum further signal the studio's commitment. A realistic upset would require an unforeseen eleventh-hour delay announcement due to technical issues, though the proximity to launch and executive messaging make that outcome improbable at this stage.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.
マーケット開始日： May 26, 2026, 7:47 PM ET
音量
$36,258終了日
2026/10/31マーケット開始日
May 26, 2026, 7:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.Rockstar Games' official confirmation of a November 19, 2026 console launch date, following multiple prior delays from a 2025 target through a brief May 2026 window, underpins the market's overwhelming 97.3% consensus on "No." Take-Two Interactive's CEO has repeatedly affirmed this timeline in earnings calls with no indications of slippage, aligning with Rockstar's pattern of locking in dates only when polish is assured. Recent trailer updates and marketing momentum further signal the studio's commitment. A realistic upset would require an unforeseen eleventh-hour delay announcement due to technical issues, though the proximity to launch and executive messaging make that outcome improbable at this stage.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.
音量
$36,258終了日
2026/10/31マーケット開始日
May 26, 2026, 7:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Rockstar Games' official confirmation of a November 19, 2026 console launch date, following multiple prior delays from a 2025 target through a brief May 2026 window, underpins the market's overwhelming 97.3% consensus on "No." Take-Two Interactive's CEO has repeatedly affirmed this timeline in earnings calls with no indications of slippage, aligning with Rockstar's pattern of locking in dates only when polish is assured. Recent trailer updates and marketing momentum further signal the studio's commitment. A realistic upset would require an unforeseen eleventh-hour delay announcement due to technical issues, though the proximity to launch and executive messaging make that outcome improbable at this stage.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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