Anthropic’s latest Claude variants, especially Fable 5.1, currently post the highest reported scores on Humanity’s Last Exam, a 2,500-question expert-authored benchmark spanning advanced mathematics, physics, biology, and other domains designed to resist saturation. Recent September 2026 leaderboards from Artificial Analysis and BenchLM place Fable 5.1 at 59.1% (closed-book or adaptive) to 65% (tool-assisted), ahead of Claude Opus 5 and Mythos 5, with OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra and Meta’s Muse Spark trailing several points behind. These gains stem from iterative improvements in reasoning chains, tool use, and training on frontier data, though protocol differences such as tool access or grader updates can shift exact figures. Remaining headroom on HLE and potential new Claude releases or HLE-Rolling updates before year-end keep the 2026 peak fluid for traders tracking model announcements and independent evaluations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$107,845 Vol.
2026/12/31
55％以上
91%
60％以上
44%
65％以上
19%
70％以上
13%
75％以上
8%
$107,845 Vol.
55％以上
$27,736 Vol.
91%
60％以上
$45,818 Vol.
44%
65％以上
$28,321 Vol.
19%
70％以上
$4,458 Vol.
13%
75％以上
$1,513 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s latest Claude variants, especially Fable 5.1, currently post the highest reported scores on Humanity’s Last Exam, a 2,500-question expert-authored benchmark spanning advanced mathematics, physics, biology, and other domains designed to resist saturation. Recent September 2026 leaderboards from Artificial Analysis and BenchLM place Fable 5.1 at 59.1% (closed-book or adaptive) to 65% (tool-assisted), ahead of Claude Opus 5 and Mythos 5, with OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra and Meta’s Muse Spark trailing several points behind. These gains stem from iterative improvements in reasoning chains, tool use, and training on frontier data, though protocol differences such as tool access or grader updates can shift exact figures. Remaining headroom on HLE and potential new Claude releases or HLE-Rolling updates before year-end keep the 2026 peak fluid for traders tracking model announcements and independent evaluations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
マーケット開始日： Jul 23, 2026, 6:42 PM ET
音量
$107,845終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Jul 23, 2026, 6:42 PM ET結算ソース
https://agi.safe.ai/リゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s latest Claude variants, especially Fable 5.1, currently post the highest reported scores on Humanity’s Last Exam, a 2,500-question expert-authored benchmark spanning advanced mathematics, physics, biology, and other domains designed to resist saturation. Recent September 2026 leaderboards from Artificial Analysis and BenchLM place Fable 5.1 at 59.1% (closed-book or adaptive) to 65% (tool-assisted), ahead of Claude Opus 5 and Mythos 5, with OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra and Meta’s Muse Spark trailing several points behind. These gains stem from iterative improvements in reasoning chains, tool use, and training on frontier data, though protocol differences such as tool access or grader updates can shift exact figures. Remaining headroom on HLE and potential new Claude releases or HLE-Rolling updates before year-end keep the 2026 peak fluid for traders tracking model announcements and independent evaluations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
音量
$107,845終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Jul 23, 2026, 6:42 PM ET結算ソース
https://agi.safe.ai/リゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s latest Claude variants, especially Fable 5.1, currently post the highest reported scores on Humanity’s Last Exam, a 2,500-question expert-authored benchmark spanning advanced mathematics, physics, biology, and other domains designed to resist saturation. Recent September 2026 leaderboards from Artificial Analysis and BenchLM place Fable 5.1 at 59.1% (closed-book or adaptive) to 65% (tool-assisted), ahead of Claude Opus 5 and Mythos 5, with OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra and Meta’s Muse Spark trailing several points behind. These gains stem from iterative improvements in reasoning chains, tool use, and training on frontier data, though protocol differences such as tool access or grader updates can shift exact figures. Remaining headroom on HLE and potential new Claude releases or HLE-Rolling updates before year-end keep the 2026 peak fluid for traders tracking model announcements and independent evaluations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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