**Anthropic’s recent Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 releases have driven the current frontier to 65% on September 2026 HLE leaderboards, with other Claude variants close behind at 64.5–64.7% and Meta’s Muse Spark 1.1 at 62.1%.** Humanity’s Last Exam is a 2,500-question expert-authored benchmark spanning math, sciences, and humanities that was designed to resist saturation; scores have climbed from single digits in early 2025 to the mid-60s range through improved chain-of-thought reasoning and model scaling. OpenAI’s GPT-5.4 Pro sits near 58–59% while Google and other labs trail slightly. With four months left in 2026, traders are watching for further Anthropic iterations, potential tool-augmented or HLE-Rolling results, and any breakthrough releases that could push the annual high past 65–70%.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$73,953 Vol.
2026/12/31
60％以上
44%
65％以上
29%
70％以上
15%
75％以上
13%
80%以上
7%
90％以上
5%
$73,953 Vol.
60％以上
$42,984 Vol.
44%
65％以上
$16,633 Vol.
29%
70％以上
$6,485 Vol.
15%
75％以上
$3,674 Vol.
13%
80%以上
$1,710 Vol.
7%
90％以上
$2,465 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".**Anthropic’s recent Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 releases have driven the current frontier to 65% on September 2026 HLE leaderboards, with other Claude variants close behind at 64.5–64.7% and Meta’s Muse Spark 1.1 at 62.1%.**
Humanity’s Last Exam is a 2,500-question expert-authored benchmark spanning math, sciences, and humanities that was designed to resist saturation; scores have climbed from single digits in early 2025 to the mid-60s range through improved chain-of-thought reasoning and model scaling. OpenAI’s GPT-5.4 Pro sits near 58–59% while Google and other labs trail slightly. With four months left in 2026, traders are watching for further Anthropic iterations, potential tool-augmented or HLE-Rolling results, and any breakthrough releases that could push the annual high past 65–70%.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
マーケット開始日： Jul 23, 2026, 6:41 PM ET
音量
$73,953終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Jul 23, 2026, 6:41 PM ET結算ソース
https://agi.safe.ai/リゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".**Anthropic’s recent Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 releases have driven the current frontier to 65% on September 2026 HLE leaderboards, with other Claude variants close behind at 64.5–64.7% and Meta’s Muse Spark 1.1 at 62.1%.**
Humanity’s Last Exam is a 2,500-question expert-authored benchmark spanning math, sciences, and humanities that was designed to resist saturation; scores have climbed from single digits in early 2025 to the mid-60s range through improved chain-of-thought reasoning and model scaling. OpenAI’s GPT-5.4 Pro sits near 58–59% while Google and other labs trail slightly. With four months left in 2026, traders are watching for further Anthropic iterations, potential tool-augmented or HLE-Rolling results, and any breakthrough releases that could push the annual high past 65–70%.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
音量
$73,953終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Jul 23, 2026, 6:41 PM ET結算ソース
https://agi.safe.ai/リゾルバー
0x65070BE91...**Anthropic’s recent Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 releases have driven the current frontier to 65% on September 2026 HLE leaderboards, with other Claude variants close behind at 64.5–64.7% and Meta’s Muse Spark 1.1 at 62.1%.** Humanity’s Last Exam is a 2,500-question expert-authored benchmark spanning math, sciences, and humanities that was designed to resist saturation; scores have climbed from single digits in early 2025 to the mid-60s range through improved chain-of-thought reasoning and model scaling. OpenAI’s GPT-5.4 Pro sits near 58–59% while Google and other labs trail slightly. With four months left in 2026, traders are watching for further Anthropic iterations, potential tool-augmented or HLE-Rolling results, and any breakthrough releases that could push the annual high past 65–70%.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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