Recent forecast consensus from models and official sources positions a 31–33°C high in Ankara on September 12 as the most likely outcome under clear skies, light northerly winds, and stable high pressure typical of late-summer continental conditions. Current observations show daytime maxima near 30°C with minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk, supporting modest warming into the low 30s rather than cooler historical September averages around 26–27°C. Traders appear to weigh these short-range model runs and the absence of incoming frontal systems or significant moisture, which could otherwise moderate temperatures. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the primary station, with any late adjustments to steering patterns or radiative heating potentially shifting the final value within the narrow 31–33°C range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月12日のアンカラの最高気温は?
31℃ 42%
32℃ 38%
29℃ 10%
33℃ 8%
25℃以下
2%
26℃
4%
27℃
4%
28°C
4%
29℃
10%
30℃
7%
31℃
42%
32℃
38%
33℃
8%
34℃
2%
35℃以上
2%
31℃ 42%
32℃ 38%
29℃ 10%
33℃ 8%
25℃以下
2%
26℃
4%
27℃
4%
28°C
4%
29℃
10%
30℃
7%
31℃
42%
32℃
38%
33℃
8%
34℃
2%
35℃以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast consensus from models and official sources positions a 31–33°C high in Ankara on September 12 as the most likely outcome under clear skies, light northerly winds, and stable high pressure typical of late-summer continental conditions. Current observations show daytime maxima near 30°C with minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk, supporting modest warming into the low 30s rather than cooler historical September averages around 26–27°C. Traders appear to weigh these short-range model runs and the absence of incoming frontal systems or significant moisture, which could otherwise moderate temperatures. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the primary station, with any late adjustments to steering patterns or radiative heating potentially shifting the final value within the narrow 31–33°C range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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