Forecast models from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European ensembles indicate clear skies and light westerly winds will allow daytime heating to push Ankara's maximum temperature to 30–31 °C on September 10, roughly 2–4 °C above the early-September climatological average of ~26 °C. Recent observations show a rebound from cooler readings (24–28 °C) on September 7–8 under stable high pressure and very low humidity, supporting efficient solar warming without cloud cover or precipitation to moderate temperatures. Official guidance highlights continued above-normal warmth through the period, with hourly profiles peaking in the mid-afternoon. Traders have priced the narrow 30–31 °C range at over 90 % combined implied probability, reflecting tight model agreement on these thresholds while assigning minimal odds to outliers below 29 °C or above 32 °C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月10日のアンカラの最高気温は？
9月10日のアンカラの最高気温は？
30℃ 65%
31°C 28%
29°C 8%
28℃ 2%
新規
$15,940 Vol.
新規
$15,940 Vol.
2026/09/10
24℃以下
<1%
25℃
<1%
26℃
<1%
27℃
1%
28℃
2%
29°C
8%
30℃
65%
31°C
28%
32℃
2%
33°C
<1%
34°C以上
<1%
30℃ 65%
31°C 28%
29°C 8%
28℃ 2%
新規
$15,940 Vol.
新規
$15,940 Vol.
2026/09/10
24℃以下
$1,409 Vol.
<1%
25℃
$361 Vol.
<1%
26℃
$559 Vol.
<1%
27℃
$122 Vol.
1%
28℃
$378 Vol.
2%
29°C
$2,080 Vol.
8%
30℃
$5,307 Vol.
65%
31°C
$3,605 Vol.
28%
32℃
$1,665 Vol.
2%
33°C
$76 Vol.
<1%
34°C以上
$379 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European ensembles indicate clear skies and light westerly winds will allow daytime heating to push Ankara's maximum temperature to 30–31 °C on September 10, roughly 2–4 °C above the early-September climatological average of ~26 °C. Recent observations show a rebound from cooler readings (24–28 °C) on September 7–8 under stable high pressure and very low humidity, supporting efficient solar warming without cloud cover or precipitation to moderate temperatures. Official guidance highlights continued above-normal warmth through the period, with hourly profiles peaking in the mid-afternoon. Traders have priced the narrow 30–31 °C range at over 90 % combined implied probability, reflecting tight model agreement on these thresholds while assigning minimal odds to outliers below 29 °C or above 32 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$15,940終了日
2026/09/10マーケット開始日
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European ensembles indicate clear skies and light westerly winds will allow daytime heating to push Ankara's maximum temperature to 30–31 °C on September 10, roughly 2–4 °C above the early-September climatological average of ~26 °C. Recent observations show a rebound from cooler readings (24–28 °C) on September 7–8 under stable high pressure and very low humidity, supporting efficient solar warming without cloud cover or precipitation to moderate temperatures. Official guidance highlights continued above-normal warmth through the period, with hourly profiles peaking in the mid-afternoon. Traders have priced the narrow 30–31 °C range at over 90 % combined implied probability, reflecting tight model agreement on these thresholds while assigning minimal odds to outliers below 29 °C or above 32 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$15,940終了日
2026/09/10マーケット開始日
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETForecast models from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European ensembles indicate clear skies and light westerly winds will allow daytime heating to push Ankara's maximum temperature to 30–31 °C on September 10, roughly 2–4 °C above the early-September climatological average of ~26 °C. Recent observations show a rebound from cooler readings (24–28 °C) on September 7–8 under stable high pressure and very low humidity, supporting efficient solar warming without cloud cover or precipitation to moderate temperatures. Official guidance highlights continued above-normal warmth through the period, with hourly profiles peaking in the mid-afternoon. Traders have priced the narrow 30–31 °C range at over 90 % combined implied probability, reflecting tight model agreement on these thresholds while assigning minimal odds to outliers below 29 °C or above 32 °C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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