Official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to a daily maximum of 36°C in Chongqing on September 9, driven by persistent high-pressure systems, limited cloud cover, and typical late-summer humidity that moderates but sustains heat. Model consensus shows minimal deviation, with historical September averages around 32–34°C providing context for the elevated reading. No major shifts in observational data or updated model runs have altered the outlook in recent days, keeping trader sentiment aligned with the 36°C outcome at 89.5% implied probability while assigning low odds to 37°C or higher.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月9日の重慶の最高気温は?
36°C 86%
37℃ 13%
38℃ 2.9%
31℃以下 <1%
$38,917 Vol.
$38,917 Vol.
31℃以下
<1%
32℃
<1%
33℃
<1%
34℃
<1%
35℃
<1%
36°C
86%
37℃
13%
38℃
3%
39℃
<1%
40℃
<1%
41℃以上
<1%
36°C 86%
37℃ 13%
38℃ 2.9%
31℃以下 <1%
$38,917 Vol.
$38,917 Vol.
31℃以下
<1%
32℃
<1%
33℃
<1%
34℃
<1%
35℃
<1%
36°C
86%
37℃
13%
38℃
3%
39℃
<1%
40℃
<1%
41℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to a daily maximum of 36°C in Chongqing on September 9, driven by persistent high-pressure systems, limited cloud cover, and typical late-summer humidity that moderates but sustains heat. Model consensus shows minimal deviation, with historical September averages around 32–34°C providing context for the elevated reading. No major shifts in observational data or updated model runs have altered the outlook in recent days, keeping trader sentiment aligned with the 36°C outcome at 89.5% implied probability while assigning low odds to 37°C or higher.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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