High uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Mexico City's overnight low on September 11 is driving the near-even split between 7°C-or-below and 17°C-or-higher outcomes at 39.5% each. At 2,240 meters elevation, radiational cooling under clear skies can produce sharp drops, while increased cloud cover, humidity from the lingering rainy season, and urban heat island effects moderate temperatures. Subtle differences in steering patterns from Pacific or Gulf moisture and the position of the subtropical ridge create divergent solutions across GFS, ECMWF, and regional ensembles. Traders are weighing the latest model consensus shifts and local Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance ahead of the final evening update, as even modest changes in cloud timing or wind could swing the realized minimum across the key thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月11日のメキシコシティの最低気温は？
9月11日のメキシコシティの最低気温は？
7℃以下 77%
17°C以上 77%
16°C 40%
8℃ 33%
新規
新規
2026/09/11
7℃以下
77%
8℃
33%
9℃
33%
10℃
33%
11°C
33%
12℃
20%
13℃
23%
14℃
23%
15℃
24%
16°C
40%
17°C以上
77%
7℃以下 77%
17°C以上 77%
16°C 40%
8℃ 33%
新規
新規
2026/09/11
7℃以下
$0 Vol.
77%
8℃
$0 Vol.
33%
9℃
$0 Vol.
33%
10℃
$0 Vol.
33%
11°C
$0 Vol.
33%
12℃
$1 Vol.
20%
13℃
$0 Vol.
23%
14℃
$0 Vol.
23%
15℃
$0 Vol.
24%
16°C
$0 Vol.
40%
17°C以上
$0 Vol.
77%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.High uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Mexico City's overnight low on September 11 is driving the near-even split between 7°C-or-below and 17°C-or-higher outcomes at 39.5% each. At 2,240 meters elevation, radiational cooling under clear skies can produce sharp drops, while increased cloud cover, humidity from the lingering rainy season, and urban heat island effects moderate temperatures. Subtle differences in steering patterns from Pacific or Gulf moisture and the position of the subtropical ridge create divergent solutions across GFS, ECMWF, and regional ensembles. Traders are weighing the latest model consensus shifts and local Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance ahead of the final evening update, as even modest changes in cloud timing or wind could swing the realized minimum across the key thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 9, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
音量
$1終了日
2026/09/11マーケット開始日
Sep 9, 2026, 8:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.High uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Mexico City's overnight low on September 11 is driving the near-even split between 7°C-or-below and 17°C-or-higher outcomes at 39.5% each. At 2,240 meters elevation, radiational cooling under clear skies can produce sharp drops, while increased cloud cover, humidity from the lingering rainy season, and urban heat island effects moderate temperatures. Subtle differences in steering patterns from Pacific or Gulf moisture and the position of the subtropical ridge create divergent solutions across GFS, ECMWF, and regional ensembles. Traders are weighing the latest model consensus shifts and local Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance ahead of the final evening update, as even modest changes in cloud timing or wind could swing the realized minimum across the key thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1終了日
2026/09/11マーケット開始日
Sep 9, 2026, 8:29 AM ETHigh uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Mexico City's overnight low on September 11 is driving the near-even split between 7°C-or-below and 17°C-or-higher outcomes at 39.5% each. At 2,240 meters elevation, radiational cooling under clear skies can produce sharp drops, while increased cloud cover, humidity from the lingering rainy season, and urban heat island effects moderate temperatures. Subtle differences in steering patterns from Pacific or Gulf moisture and the position of the subtropical ridge create divergent solutions across GFS, ECMWF, and regional ensembles. Traders are weighing the latest model consensus shifts and local Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance ahead of the final evening update, as even modest changes in cloud timing or wind could swing the realized minimum across the key thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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