Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models indicate a high near 32–33°C for Guangzhou on September 12, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, northeasterly flow, and mostly cloudy conditions that limit daytime heating. Hourly data show afternoon peaks around 31–33°C with dew points near 20°C, aligning with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 32.3°C. Light winds and scattered cloud cover differentiate outcomes in the narrow 31–34°C range, while any earlier clearing or delayed moisture could push readings toward 34°C or hold them at 32°C. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月12日の広州の最高気温は?
33°C 23%
32℃ 17%
34℃ 13%
31℃ 12%
27℃以下
<1%
28℃
1%
29°C
3%
30℃
9%
31℃
12%
32℃
17%
33°C
23%
34℃
13%
35℃
10%
36℃
9%
37℃以上
7%
33°C 23%
32℃ 17%
34℃ 13%
31℃ 12%
27℃以下
<1%
28℃
1%
29°C
3%
30℃
9%
31℃
12%
32℃
17%
33°C
23%
34℃
13%
35℃
10%
36℃
9%
37℃以上
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models indicate a high near 32–33°C for Guangzhou on September 12, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, northeasterly flow, and mostly cloudy conditions that limit daytime heating. Hourly data show afternoon peaks around 31–33°C with dew points near 20°C, aligning with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 32.3°C. Light winds and scattered cloud cover differentiate outcomes in the narrow 31–34°C range, while any earlier clearing or delayed moisture could push readings toward 34°C or hold them at 32°C. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問