Recent forecast models from sources like PredictWind and globalmeteo project a high near 27–29°C for Busan on September 12 under stable high pressure with light northeast winds and partly cloudy skies, aligning with seasonal norms of about 26°C. This supports the market's strong consensus around 29°C (39.5%) and 30°C (21%), as coastal moderation and minimal precipitation risk limit upside potential beyond 30°C while keeping temperatures above the 27–28°C cluster. Updated runs closer to the date will refine any small model spreads or wind shifts that could nudge the daily maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月12日の釜山の最高気温は?
29℃ 40%
30℃ 39%
28℃ 23%
27℃ 19%
24℃以下
<1%
25℃
3%
26℃
3%
27℃
19%
28℃
23%
29℃
40%
30℃
31%
31℃
10%
32°C
4%
33℃
2%
34℃以上
<1%
29℃ 40%
30℃ 39%
28℃ 23%
27℃ 19%
24℃以下
<1%
25℃
3%
26℃
3%
27℃
19%
28℃
23%
29℃
40%
30℃
31%
31℃
10%
32°C
4%
33℃
2%
34℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models from sources like PredictWind and globalmeteo project a high near 27–29°C for Busan on September 12 under stable high pressure with light northeast winds and partly cloudy skies, aligning with seasonal norms of about 26°C. This supports the market's strong consensus around 29°C (39.5%) and 30°C (21%), as coastal moderation and minimal precipitation risk limit upside potential beyond 30°C while keeping temperatures above the 27–28°C cluster. Updated runs closer to the date will refine any small model spreads or wind shifts that could nudge the daily maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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