Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and regional forecasts indicates Busan’s September 12 minimum will likely fall in the low-20s °C range under stable high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light northeasterly flow that limits nocturnal cooling. Current runs show overnight lows near 20–22 °C, consistent with climatological September averages around 19–21 °C and no active fronts or tropical systems directly affecting the region. The near-even market split between sub-15 °C and 25 °C+ outcomes reflects residual uncertainty in exact radiative cooling rates and any late-model shifts in cloud cover or wind, with resolution hinging on the official daily minimum recorded at the primary Busan station. Updated model guidance through the next 48 hours will be the key near-term catalyst.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月12日の釜山の最低気温は？
9月12日の釜山の最低気温は？
15℃以下 97%
25℃以上 82%
16℃ 39%
17°C 39%
新規
新規
2026/09/12
15℃以下
97%
16℃
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
27%
19℃
27%
20℃
39%
21°C
20%
22°C
39%
23℃
39%
24℃
15%
25℃以上
82%
15℃以下 97%
25℃以上 82%
16℃ 39%
17°C 39%
新規
新規
2026/09/12
15℃以下
$0 Vol.
97%
16℃
$0 Vol.
39%
17°C
$0 Vol.
39%
18°C
$0 Vol.
27%
19℃
$0 Vol.
27%
20℃
$0 Vol.
39%
21°C
$0 Vol.
20%
22°C
$0 Vol.
39%
23℃
$0 Vol.
39%
24℃
$0 Vol.
15%
25℃以上
$0 Vol.
82%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and regional forecasts indicates Busan’s September 12 minimum will likely fall in the low-20s °C range under stable high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light northeasterly flow that limits nocturnal cooling. Current runs show overnight lows near 20–22 °C, consistent with climatological September averages around 19–21 °C and no active fronts or tropical systems directly affecting the region. The near-even market split between sub-15 °C and 25 °C+ outcomes reflects residual uncertainty in exact radiative cooling rates and any late-model shifts in cloud cover or wind, with resolution hinging on the official daily minimum recorded at the primary Busan station. Updated model guidance through the next 48 hours will be the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/12マーケット開始日
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and regional forecasts indicates Busan’s September 12 minimum will likely fall in the low-20s °C range under stable high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light northeasterly flow that limits nocturnal cooling. Current runs show overnight lows near 20–22 °C, consistent with climatological September averages around 19–21 °C and no active fronts or tropical systems directly affecting the region. The near-even market split between sub-15 °C and 25 °C+ outcomes reflects residual uncertainty in exact radiative cooling rates and any late-model shifts in cloud cover or wind, with resolution hinging on the official daily minimum recorded at the primary Busan station. Updated model guidance through the next 48 hours will be the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/12マーケット開始日
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRecent model consensus from sources including GFS and regional forecasts indicates Busan’s September 12 minimum will likely fall in the low-20s °C range under stable high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light northeasterly flow that limits nocturnal cooling. Current runs show overnight lows near 20–22 °C, consistent with climatological September averages around 19–21 °C and no active fronts or tropical systems directly affecting the region. The near-even market split between sub-15 °C and 25 °C+ outcomes reflects residual uncertainty in exact radiative cooling rates and any late-model shifts in cloud cover or wind, with resolution hinging on the official daily minimum recorded at the primary Busan station. Updated model guidance through the next 48 hours will be the key near-term catalyst.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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