Recent forecast model runs from GFS and other sources show a stable high-pressure pattern over northern France, with light westerly winds and minimal cloud cover expected to limit daytime heating on September 10. Official guidance points to a maximum temperature near the September climatological average of 22.3°C, keeping 22°C as the market leader at 54% implied probability. Cooler overnight lows around 11–14°C and only a slight chance of afternoon convection further cap upside potential, while minor model spread supports the tight clustering around 21–23°C outcomes. Updated guidance later this week will refine exact peak readings ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月10日のパリの最高気温は？
9月10日のパリの最高気温は？
22℃ 54%
21℃ 22%
23℃ 21%
20℃ 5%
新規
新規
2026/09/10
17°C以下
<1%
18℃
1%
19°C
3%
20℃
5%
21℃
22%
22℃
54%
23℃
21%
24°C
2%
25°C
3%
26℃
1%
27℃以上
<1%
22℃ 54%
21℃ 22%
23℃ 21%
20℃ 5%
新規
新規
2026/09/10
17°C以下
$340 Vol.
<1%
18℃
$51 Vol.
1%
19°C
$0 Vol.
3%
20℃
$90 Vol.
5%
21℃
$164 Vol.
22%
22℃
$637 Vol.
54%
23℃
$518 Vol.
21%
24°C
$247 Vol.
2%
25°C
$174 Vol.
3%
26℃
$102 Vol.
1%
27℃以上
$102 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from GFS and other sources show a stable high-pressure pattern over northern France, with light westerly winds and minimal cloud cover expected to limit daytime heating on September 10. Official guidance points to a maximum temperature near the September climatological average of 22.3°C, keeping 22°C as the market leader at 54% implied probability. Cooler overnight lows around 11–14°C and only a slight chance of afternoon convection further cap upside potential, while minor model spread supports the tight clustering around 21–23°C outcomes. Updated guidance later this week will refine exact peak readings ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$2,424終了日
2026/09/10マーケット開始日
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from GFS and other sources show a stable high-pressure pattern over northern France, with light westerly winds and minimal cloud cover expected to limit daytime heating on September 10. Official guidance points to a maximum temperature near the September climatological average of 22.3°C, keeping 22°C as the market leader at 54% implied probability. Cooler overnight lows around 11–14°C and only a slight chance of afternoon convection further cap upside potential, while minor model spread supports the tight clustering around 21–23°C outcomes. Updated guidance later this week will refine exact peak readings ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$2,424終了日
2026/09/10マーケット開始日
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecast model runs from GFS and other sources show a stable high-pressure pattern over northern France, with light westerly winds and minimal cloud cover expected to limit daytime heating on September 10. Official guidance points to a maximum temperature near the September climatological average of 22.3°C, keeping 22°C as the market leader at 54% implied probability. Cooler overnight lows around 11–14°C and only a slight chance of afternoon convection further cap upside potential, while minor model spread supports the tight clustering around 21–23°C outcomes. Updated guidance later this week will refine exact peak readings ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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