Recent forecast models from agencies including the German Weather Service indicate a shift to cooler, unsettled conditions over Munich on September 9, with widespread cloud cover, showers, and westerly winds limiting daytime heating after a warmer September 8. This pattern supports the market's tight clustering around 21–22 °C implied probabilities, as reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling from precipitation differentiate those thresholds from slightly higher or lower outcomes. Minor variations in front timing or rainfall intensity across ensemble runs introduce the remaining uncertainty, with updated model guidance and surface observations expected to refine the maximum temperature ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月9日のミュンヘンの最高気温は？
9月9日のミュンヘンの最高気温は？
22°C 33%
21℃ 31%
20°C 16%
23℃ 14%
新規
新規
2026/09/09
17°C以下
2%
18°C
3%
19°C
5%
20°C
16%
21℃
31%
22°C
33%
23℃
14%
24℃
2%
25°C
1%
26℃
1%
27°C以上
1%
22°C 33%
21℃ 31%
20°C 16%
23℃ 14%
新規
新規
2026/09/09
17°C以下
$3 Vol.
2%
18°C
$212 Vol.
3%
19°C
$208 Vol.
5%
20°C
$678 Vol.
16%
21℃
$633 Vol.
31%
22°C
$445 Vol.
33%
23℃
$309 Vol.
14%
24℃
$1 Vol.
2%
25°C
$0 Vol.
1%
26℃
$0 Vol.
1%
27°C以上
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including the German Weather Service indicate a shift to cooler, unsettled conditions over Munich on September 9, with widespread cloud cover, showers, and westerly winds limiting daytime heating after a warmer September 8. This pattern supports the market's tight clustering around 21–22 °C implied probabilities, as reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling from precipitation differentiate those thresholds from slightly higher or lower outcomes. Minor variations in front timing or rainfall intensity across ensemble runs introduce the remaining uncertainty, with updated model guidance and surface observations expected to refine the maximum temperature ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$2,490終了日
2026/09/09マーケット開始日
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including the German Weather Service indicate a shift to cooler, unsettled conditions over Munich on September 9, with widespread cloud cover, showers, and westerly winds limiting daytime heating after a warmer September 8. This pattern supports the market's tight clustering around 21–22 °C implied probabilities, as reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling from precipitation differentiate those thresholds from slightly higher or lower outcomes. Minor variations in front timing or rainfall intensity across ensemble runs introduce the remaining uncertainty, with updated model guidance and surface observations expected to refine the maximum temperature ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$2,490終了日
2026/09/09マーケット開始日
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecast models from agencies including the German Weather Service indicate a shift to cooler, unsettled conditions over Munich on September 9, with widespread cloud cover, showers, and westerly winds limiting daytime heating after a warmer September 8. This pattern supports the market's tight clustering around 21–22 °C implied probabilities, as reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling from precipitation differentiate those thresholds from slightly higher or lower outcomes. Minor variations in front timing or rainfall intensity across ensemble runs introduce the remaining uncertainty, with updated model guidance and surface observations expected to refine the maximum temperature ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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