Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the GFS and ECMWF points to a daily maximum near 17–18°C in Buenos Aires on September 9 under mostly cloudy conditions, light northeasterly flow, and stable high pressure near 1018–1019 hPa that limits strong afternoon heating. This aligns with observed highs of 17°C the prior day and cooler September baselines around 14.7°C. Market-implied odds favoring 20°C likely reflect trader weighting of residual model spread, potential for brief clearing to allow extra warming, and historical September variability where peaks have reached 22°C early in the month. Updated SMN observations and afternoon model runs will clarify resolution thresholds as the day progresses.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月9日のブエノスアイレスの最高気温は？
9月9日のブエノスアイレスの最高気温は？
20℃ 60%
19°C 24%
21℃ 15%
18℃ 3%
新規
$16,613 Vol.
新規
$16,613 Vol.
2026/09/09
13°C以下
<1%
14°C
<1%
15℃
<1%
16℃
1%
17℃
2%
18℃
3%
19°C
24%
20℃
60%
21℃
15%
22℃
1%
23℃以上
1%
20℃ 60%
19°C 24%
21℃ 15%
18℃ 3%
新規
$16,613 Vol.
新規
$16,613 Vol.
2026/09/09
13°C以下
$299 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$293 Vol.
<1%
15℃
$322 Vol.
<1%
16℃
$309 Vol.
1%
17℃
$1,121 Vol.
2%
18℃
$1,083 Vol.
3%
19°C
$4,017 Vol.
24%
20℃
$4,097 Vol.
60%
21℃
$3,620 Vol.
15%
22℃
$880 Vol.
1%
23℃以上
$572 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the GFS and ECMWF points to a daily maximum near 17–18°C in Buenos Aires on September 9 under mostly cloudy conditions, light northeasterly flow, and stable high pressure near 1018–1019 hPa that limits strong afternoon heating. This aligns with observed highs of 17°C the prior day and cooler September baselines around 14.7°C. Market-implied odds favoring 20°C likely reflect trader weighting of residual model spread, potential for brief clearing to allow extra warming, and historical September variability where peaks have reached 22°C early in the month. Updated SMN observations and afternoon model runs will clarify resolution thresholds as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 7, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
音量
$16,613終了日
2026/09/09マーケット開始日
Sep 7, 2026, 8:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the GFS and ECMWF points to a daily maximum near 17–18°C in Buenos Aires on September 9 under mostly cloudy conditions, light northeasterly flow, and stable high pressure near 1018–1019 hPa that limits strong afternoon heating. This aligns with observed highs of 17°C the prior day and cooler September baselines around 14.7°C. Market-implied odds favoring 20°C likely reflect trader weighting of residual model spread, potential for brief clearing to allow extra warming, and historical September variability where peaks have reached 22°C early in the month. Updated SMN observations and afternoon model runs will clarify resolution thresholds as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$16,613終了日
2026/09/09マーケット開始日
Sep 7, 2026, 8:55 AM ETRecent forecast model consensus from sources including the GFS and ECMWF points to a daily maximum near 17–18°C in Buenos Aires on September 9 under mostly cloudy conditions, light northeasterly flow, and stable high pressure near 1018–1019 hPa that limits strong afternoon heating. This aligns with observed highs of 17°C the prior day and cooler September baselines around 14.7°C. Market-implied odds favoring 20°C likely reflect trader weighting of residual model spread, potential for brief clearing to allow extra warming, and historical September variability where peaks have reached 22°C early in the month. Updated SMN observations and afternoon model runs will clarify resolution thresholds as the day progresses.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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