Recent forecasts from sources including AccuWeather, WeatherBug, and Chinese meteorological services converge on a September 9 high in Shenzhen of 31–32°C, with partly cloudy to rainy conditions and easterly winds limiting afternoon heating after a hotter 33–34°C peak on September 8. This subtropical late-summer pattern, typical for the region with September climatological averages near 31°C, reflects increased moisture and cloud cover that caps diurnal maxima while raising humidity. Model runs show limited spread, supporting the market’s emphasis on 32°C (35%) and 33°C (24.5%) as leading outcomes, though a shift in steering flow or reduced precipitation could allow brief spikes toward 34°C before resolution. Updated guidance ahead of the date will refine these probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月9日の深センの最高気温は？
9月9日の深センの最高気温は？
32℃ 35%
33℃ 24%
31℃ 19%
30℃ 11%
新規
新規
2026/09/09
27℃以下
<1%
28℃
3%
29°C
5%
30℃
11%
31℃
19%
32℃
35%
33℃
24%
34°C
9%
35℃
3%
36℃
1%
37℃以上
<1%
32℃ 35%
33℃ 24%
31℃ 19%
30℃ 11%
新規
新規
2026/09/09
27℃以下
$113 Vol.
<1%
28℃
$194 Vol.
3%
29°C
$0 Vol.
5%
30℃
$0 Vol.
11%
31℃
$98 Vol.
19%
32℃
$281 Vol.
35%
33℃
$50 Vol.
24%
34°C
$24 Vol.
9%
35℃
$102 Vol.
3%
36℃
$145 Vol.
1%
37℃以上
$296 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including AccuWeather, WeatherBug, and Chinese meteorological services converge on a September 9 high in Shenzhen of 31–32°C, with partly cloudy to rainy conditions and easterly winds limiting afternoon heating after a hotter 33–34°C peak on September 8. This subtropical late-summer pattern, typical for the region with September climatological averages near 31°C, reflects increased moisture and cloud cover that caps diurnal maxima while raising humidity. Model runs show limited spread, supporting the market’s emphasis on 32°C (35%) and 33°C (24.5%) as leading outcomes, though a shift in steering flow or reduced precipitation could allow brief spikes toward 34°C before resolution. Updated guidance ahead of the date will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$1,304終了日
2026/09/09マーケット開始日
Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including AccuWeather, WeatherBug, and Chinese meteorological services converge on a September 9 high in Shenzhen of 31–32°C, with partly cloudy to rainy conditions and easterly winds limiting afternoon heating after a hotter 33–34°C peak on September 8. This subtropical late-summer pattern, typical for the region with September climatological averages near 31°C, reflects increased moisture and cloud cover that caps diurnal maxima while raising humidity. Model runs show limited spread, supporting the market’s emphasis on 32°C (35%) and 33°C (24.5%) as leading outcomes, though a shift in steering flow or reduced precipitation could allow brief spikes toward 34°C before resolution. Updated guidance ahead of the date will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,304終了日
2026/09/09マーケット開始日
Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts from sources including AccuWeather, WeatherBug, and Chinese meteorological services converge on a September 9 high in Shenzhen of 31–32°C, with partly cloudy to rainy conditions and easterly winds limiting afternoon heating after a hotter 33–34°C peak on September 8. This subtropical late-summer pattern, typical for the region with September climatological averages near 31°C, reflects increased moisture and cloud cover that caps diurnal maxima while raising humidity. Model runs show limited spread, supporting the market’s emphasis on 32°C (35%) and 33°C (24.5%) as leading outcomes, though a shift in steering flow or reduced precipitation could allow brief spikes toward 34°C before resolution. Updated guidance ahead of the date will refine these probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問