Recent National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on September 9 point to an overnight low near 67°F, well above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 56°F for the date, as a heat advisory brings above-normal warmth from offshore flow and reduced marine-layer influence. Model consensus shows limited overnight cooling under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with light winds, keeping minimum temperatures in the mid-to-upper 60s rather than the typical mid-50s. This setup explains why the 66–67°F bin leads market-implied odds at 34.5 percent, while the 55°F-or-below outcome retains 27 percent support from traders anticipating stronger coastal stratus or a late shift in the thermal trough. Resolution will hinge on the official downtown observation once the calendar day ends.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月9日のサンフランシスコの最低気温は？
9月9日のサンフランシスコの最低気温は？
55°F以下 54%
58～59°F 50%
68〜69°F 32%
56～57°F 31%
新規
新規
2026/09/09
55°F以下
54%
56～57°F
31%
58～59°F
50%
60～61°F
23%
62〜63°F
11%
64〜65°F
26%
66〜67°F
35%
68〜69°F
32%
70〜71°F
<1%
72～73°F
<1%
華氏74度以上
<1%
55°F以下 54%
58～59°F 50%
68〜69°F 32%
56～57°F 31%
新規
新規
2026/09/09
55°F以下
$57 Vol.
54%
56～57°F
$123 Vol.
31%
58～59°F
$50 Vol.
50%
60～61°F
$11 Vol.
23%
62〜63°F
$10 Vol.
11%
64〜65°F
$160 Vol.
26%
66〜67°F
$426 Vol.
35%
68〜69°F
$0 Vol.
32%
70〜71°F
$219 Vol.
<1%
72～73°F
$109 Vol.
<1%
華氏74度以上
$67 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on September 9 point to an overnight low near 67°F, well above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 56°F for the date, as a heat advisory brings above-normal warmth from offshore flow and reduced marine-layer influence. Model consensus shows limited overnight cooling under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with light winds, keeping minimum temperatures in the mid-to-upper 60s rather than the typical mid-50s. This setup explains why the 66–67°F bin leads market-implied odds at 34.5 percent, while the 55°F-or-below outcome retains 27 percent support from traders anticipating stronger coastal stratus or a late shift in the thermal trough. Resolution will hinge on the official downtown observation once the calendar day ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 7, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
音量
$1,231終了日
2026/09/09マーケット開始日
Sep 7, 2026, 7:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on September 9 point to an overnight low near 67°F, well above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 56°F for the date, as a heat advisory brings above-normal warmth from offshore flow and reduced marine-layer influence. Model consensus shows limited overnight cooling under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with light winds, keeping minimum temperatures in the mid-to-upper 60s rather than the typical mid-50s. This setup explains why the 66–67°F bin leads market-implied odds at 34.5 percent, while the 55°F-or-below outcome retains 27 percent support from traders anticipating stronger coastal stratus or a late shift in the thermal trough. Resolution will hinge on the official downtown observation once the calendar day ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,231終了日
2026/09/09マーケット開始日
Sep 7, 2026, 7:29 AM ETRecent National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on September 9 point to an overnight low near 67°F, well above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 56°F for the date, as a heat advisory brings above-normal warmth from offshore flow and reduced marine-layer influence. Model consensus shows limited overnight cooling under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with light winds, keeping minimum temperatures in the mid-to-upper 60s rather than the typical mid-50s. This setup explains why the 66–67°F bin leads market-implied odds at 34.5 percent, while the 55°F-or-below outcome retains 27 percent support from traders anticipating stronger coastal stratus or a late shift in the thermal trough. Resolution will hinge on the official downtown observation once the calendar day ends.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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