Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus indicate a high temperature in the low 80s for New York City on September 11, 2026, driven by partly cloudy skies, northerly winds shifting from the northwest, and minimal precipitation chances under 20%. This positioning aligns with the market's leading 80-81°F outcome at 63.5% implied probability, following a warmer Thursday peak near 88°F. Historical September averages near 78°F provide context, while stable steering patterns and lack of frontal passages or tropical moisture reduce upside or downside volatility. Final resolution depends on official Central Park observations, with any late-day model adjustments potentially shifting the exact bin.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月11日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は？
9月11日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は？
80〜81°F 55%
78〜79°F 26%
82〜83°F 16%
76～77°F 2%
新規
新規
2026/09/11
69°F以下
<1%
70～71°F
<1%
72～73°F
<1%
74-75°F
2%
76～77°F
2%
78〜79°F
26%
80〜81°F
55%
82〜83°F
16%
84〜85°F
2%
86〜87°F
2%
88°F以上
<1%
80〜81°F 55%
78〜79°F 26%
82〜83°F 16%
76～77°F 2%
新規
新規
2026/09/11
69°F以下
$468 Vol.
<1%
70～71°F
$233 Vol.
<1%
72～73°F
$297 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$374 Vol.
2%
76～77°F
$502 Vol.
2%
78〜79°F
$857 Vol.
26%
80〜81°F
$1,811 Vol.
55%
82〜83°F
$997 Vol.
16%
84〜85°F
$361 Vol.
2%
86〜87°F
$660 Vol.
2%
88°F以上
$312 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus indicate a high temperature in the low 80s for New York City on September 11, 2026, driven by partly cloudy skies, northerly winds shifting from the northwest, and minimal precipitation chances under 20%. This positioning aligns with the market's leading 80-81°F outcome at 63.5% implied probability, following a warmer Thursday peak near 88°F. Historical September averages near 78°F provide context, while stable steering patterns and lack of frontal passages or tropical moisture reduce upside or downside volatility. Final resolution depends on official Central Park observations, with any late-day model adjustments potentially shifting the exact bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 9, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
音量
$6,873終了日
2026/09/11マーケット開始日
Sep 9, 2026, 3:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus indicate a high temperature in the low 80s for New York City on September 11, 2026, driven by partly cloudy skies, northerly winds shifting from the northwest, and minimal precipitation chances under 20%. This positioning aligns with the market's leading 80-81°F outcome at 63.5% implied probability, following a warmer Thursday peak near 88°F. Historical September averages near 78°F provide context, while stable steering patterns and lack of frontal passages or tropical moisture reduce upside or downside volatility. Final resolution depends on official Central Park observations, with any late-day model adjustments potentially shifting the exact bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$6,873終了日
2026/09/11マーケット開始日
Sep 9, 2026, 3:55 AM ETRecent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus indicate a high temperature in the low 80s for New York City on September 11, 2026, driven by partly cloudy skies, northerly winds shifting from the northwest, and minimal precipitation chances under 20%. This positioning aligns with the market's leading 80-81°F outcome at 63.5% implied probability, following a warmer Thursday peak near 88°F. Historical September averages near 78°F provide context, while stable steering patterns and lack of frontal passages or tropical moisture reduce upside or downside volatility. Final resolution depends on official Central Park observations, with any late-day model adjustments potentially shifting the exact bin.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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