Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration point to northerly winds and reduced humidity as the main drivers keeping Wuhan's September 10 maximum temperature centered on 26–27°C, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities of 33% and 25%. Recent days have shown a cooling shift from late-summer warmth, with today's observed highs near 27–31°C giving way to clearer but cooler conditions tomorrow. Ensemble differences in cloud cover and wind timing create the tight spread between 25°C and 28°C outcomes, while official guidance emphasizes low precipitation risk and stable steering patterns. Updated model runs and local observations ahead of the daily peak will refine these ranges before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月10日の武漢の最高気温は?
26℃ 34%
27°C 25%
25℃ 19%
28°C 9%
23℃以下
2%
24℃
8%
25℃
19%
26℃
34%
27°C
25%
28°C
9%
29℃
2%
30°C
<1%
31℃
<1%
32℃
<1%
33℃以上
<1%
26℃ 34%
27°C 25%
25℃ 19%
28°C 9%
23℃以下
2%
24℃
8%
25℃
19%
26℃
34%
27°C
25%
28°C
9%
29℃
2%
30°C
<1%
31℃
<1%
32℃
<1%
33℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration point to northerly winds and reduced humidity as the main drivers keeping Wuhan's September 10 maximum temperature centered on 26–27°C, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities of 33% and 25%. Recent days have shown a cooling shift from late-summer warmth, with today's observed highs near 27–31°C giving way to clearer but cooler conditions tomorrow. Ensemble differences in cloud cover and wind timing create the tight spread between 25°C and 28°C outcomes, while official guidance emphasizes low precipitation risk and stable steering patterns. Updated model runs and local observations ahead of the daily peak will refine these ranges before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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