Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a minimum temperature in Wuhan of 18–21°C on September 10, driven by northerly flow under partly cloudy skies with low precipitation risk and moderate humidity. This positions the 19°C outcome as a central expectation, while the 45% market-implied probability on 16°C or below reflects model uncertainty in nocturnal cooling rates and potential for localized radiative effects or slight forecast revisions. Historical September baselines for the region typically show lows near 20°C, supporting the clustered probabilities around 18–20°C amid stable high-pressure influence and no incoming frontal systems. Official Chinese meteorological updates and global model consensus runs expected overnight will provide the final inputs ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月10日の武漢の最低気温は？
9月10日の武漢の最低気温は？
16℃以下 40%
26℃以上 39%
19℃ 33%
24℃ 32%
新規
新規
2026/09/10
16℃以下
40%
17℃
16%
18℃
30%
19℃
33%
20℃
22%
21°C
12%
22℃
22%
23°C
14%
24℃
32%
25℃
32%
26℃以上
39%
16℃以下 40%
26℃以上 39%
19℃ 33%
24℃ 32%
新規
新規
2026/09/10
16℃以下
$20 Vol.
40%
17℃
$0 Vol.
16%
18℃
$0 Vol.
30%
19℃
$0 Vol.
33%
20℃
$0 Vol.
22%
21°C
$0 Vol.
12%
22℃
$0 Vol.
22%
23°C
$0 Vol.
14%
24℃
$25 Vol.
32%
25℃
$61 Vol.
32%
26℃以上
$40 Vol.
39%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a minimum temperature in Wuhan of 18–21°C on September 10, driven by northerly flow under partly cloudy skies with low precipitation risk and moderate humidity. This positions the 19°C outcome as a central expectation, while the 45% market-implied probability on 16°C or below reflects model uncertainty in nocturnal cooling rates and potential for localized radiative effects or slight forecast revisions. Historical September baselines for the region typically show lows near 20°C, supporting the clustered probabilities around 18–20°C amid stable high-pressure influence and no incoming frontal systems. Official Chinese meteorological updates and global model consensus runs expected overnight will provide the final inputs ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$146終了日
2026/09/10マーケット開始日
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a minimum temperature in Wuhan of 18–21°C on September 10, driven by northerly flow under partly cloudy skies with low precipitation risk and moderate humidity. This positions the 19°C outcome as a central expectation, while the 45% market-implied probability on 16°C or below reflects model uncertainty in nocturnal cooling rates and potential for localized radiative effects or slight forecast revisions. Historical September baselines for the region typically show lows near 20°C, supporting the clustered probabilities around 18–20°C amid stable high-pressure influence and no incoming frontal systems. Official Chinese meteorological updates and global model consensus runs expected overnight will provide the final inputs ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$146終了日
2026/09/10マーケット開始日
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a minimum temperature in Wuhan of 18–21°C on September 10, driven by northerly flow under partly cloudy skies with low precipitation risk and moderate humidity. This positions the 19°C outcome as a central expectation, while the 45% market-implied probability on 16°C or below reflects model uncertainty in nocturnal cooling rates and potential for localized radiative effects or slight forecast revisions. Historical September baselines for the region typically show lows near 20°C, supporting the clustered probabilities around 18–20°C amid stable high-pressure influence and no incoming frontal systems. Official Chinese meteorological updates and global model consensus runs expected overnight will provide the final inputs ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問