Trader consensus on a 14°C high for Wellington on September 9 centers on consistent forecast guidance from MetService-aligned models and observations, projecting a peak near 14°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with moderate northerly winds. Spring climatology supports this range, with September average highs around 13–15°C and no significant synoptic systems or cold outbreaks indicated in recent model runs. Official station data from Wellington International Airport and nearby sites have shown gradual daytime rises to the low-to-mid 13°C range by midday, aligning with the market-implied odds. A realistic shift could occur if an unexpected frontal passage or stronger southerly change arrives ahead of schedule, potentially capping readings at 13°C or pushing them to 15°C depending on exact timing and wind direction.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月9日のウェリントンの最高気温は？
9月9日のウェリントンの最高気温は？
14℃ 99.5%
15°C <1%
8℃以下 <1%
9℃ <1%
新規
$38,508 Vol.
新規
$38,508 Vol.
2026/09/09
8℃以下
<1%
9℃
<1%
10℃
<1%
11°C
<1%
12℃
<1%
13°C
<1%
14℃
100%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18℃以上
<1%
14℃ 99.5%
15°C <1%
8℃以下 <1%
9℃ <1%
新規
$38,508 Vol.
新規
$38,508 Vol.
2026/09/09
8℃以下
$1,366 Vol.
<1%
9℃
$355 Vol.
<1%
10℃
$419 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$1,233 Vol.
<1%
12℃
$1,568 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$12,569 Vol.
<1%
14℃
$7,728 Vol.
100%
15°C
$6,906 Vol.
1%
16°C
$4,452 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,286 Vol.
<1%
18℃以上
$626 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on a 14°C high for Wellington on September 9 centers on consistent forecast guidance from MetService-aligned models and observations, projecting a peak near 14°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with moderate northerly winds. Spring climatology supports this range, with September average highs around 13–15°C and no significant synoptic systems or cold outbreaks indicated in recent model runs. Official station data from Wellington International Airport and nearby sites have shown gradual daytime rises to the low-to-mid 13°C range by midday, aligning with the market-implied odds. A realistic shift could occur if an unexpected frontal passage or stronger southerly change arrives ahead of schedule, potentially capping readings at 13°C or pushing them to 15°C depending on exact timing and wind direction.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$38,508終了日
2026/09/09マーケット開始日
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on a 14°C high for Wellington on September 9 centers on consistent forecast guidance from MetService-aligned models and observations, projecting a peak near 14°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with moderate northerly winds. Spring climatology supports this range, with September average highs around 13–15°C and no significant synoptic systems or cold outbreaks indicated in recent model runs. Official station data from Wellington International Airport and nearby sites have shown gradual daytime rises to the low-to-mid 13°C range by midday, aligning with the market-implied odds. A realistic shift could occur if an unexpected frontal passage or stronger southerly change arrives ahead of schedule, potentially capping readings at 13°C or pushing them to 15°C depending on exact timing and wind direction.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$38,508終了日
2026/09/09マーケット開始日
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETTrader consensus on a 14°C high for Wellington on September 9 centers on consistent forecast guidance from MetService-aligned models and observations, projecting a peak near 14°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with moderate northerly winds. Spring climatology supports this range, with September average highs around 13–15°C and no significant synoptic systems or cold outbreaks indicated in recent model runs. Official station data from Wellington International Airport and nearby sites have shown gradual daytime rises to the low-to-mid 13°C range by midday, aligning with the market-implied odds. A realistic shift could occur if an unexpected frontal passage or stronger southerly change arrives ahead of schedule, potentially capping readings at 13°C or pushing them to 15°C depending on exact timing and wind direction.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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