Recent model consensus points to a high near 28°C in Shanghai on September 10, driven by northerly flow and light rain expected to limit daytime heating. Forecasts from multiple sources indicate highs of 27–30°C under partly cloudy to rainy conditions, consistent with early-September climatology where post-monsoon cooling and increased cloud cover moderate peaks. Light precipitation and moderate humidity further cap temperatures, reducing the likelihood of 30°C or higher. Traders appear to weigh these short-range guidance details heavily, with implied probabilities aligning closely to the most frequent forecast outcomes near 28°C ahead of any final observational adjustments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月10日の上海の最高気温は？
9月10日の上海の最高気温は？
28℃ 50%
29°C 24%
27°C 22%
30°C 5%
新規
新規
2026/09/10
25℃以下
2%
26℃
3%
27°C
22%
28℃
50%
29°C
24%
30°C
5%
31℃
2%
32℃
1%
33℃
<1%
34°C
<1%
35℃以上
<1%
28℃ 50%
29°C 24%
27°C 22%
30°C 5%
新規
新規
2026/09/10
25℃以下
$65 Vol.
2%
26℃
$107 Vol.
3%
27°C
$1,688 Vol.
22%
28℃
$971 Vol.
50%
29°C
$1,223 Vol.
24%
30°C
$491 Vol.
5%
31℃
$25 Vol.
2%
32℃
$182 Vol.
1%
33℃
$223 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$673 Vol.
<1%
35℃以上
$395 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus points to a high near 28°C in Shanghai on September 10, driven by northerly flow and light rain expected to limit daytime heating. Forecasts from multiple sources indicate highs of 27–30°C under partly cloudy to rainy conditions, consistent with early-September climatology where post-monsoon cooling and increased cloud cover moderate peaks. Light precipitation and moderate humidity further cap temperatures, reducing the likelihood of 30°C or higher. Traders appear to weigh these short-range guidance details heavily, with implied probabilities aligning closely to the most frequent forecast outcomes near 28°C ahead of any final observational adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$6,041終了日
2026/09/10マーケット開始日
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus points to a high near 28°C in Shanghai on September 10, driven by northerly flow and light rain expected to limit daytime heating. Forecasts from multiple sources indicate highs of 27–30°C under partly cloudy to rainy conditions, consistent with early-September climatology where post-monsoon cooling and increased cloud cover moderate peaks. Light precipitation and moderate humidity further cap temperatures, reducing the likelihood of 30°C or higher. Traders appear to weigh these short-range guidance details heavily, with implied probabilities aligning closely to the most frequent forecast outcomes near 28°C ahead of any final observational adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$6,041終了日
2026/09/10マーケット開始日
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent model consensus points to a high near 28°C in Shanghai on September 10, driven by northerly flow and light rain expected to limit daytime heating. Forecasts from multiple sources indicate highs of 27–30°C under partly cloudy to rainy conditions, consistent with early-September climatology where post-monsoon cooling and increased cloud cover moderate peaks. Light precipitation and moderate humidity further cap temperatures, reducing the likelihood of 30°C or higher. Traders appear to weigh these short-range guidance details heavily, with implied probabilities aligning closely to the most frequent forecast outcomes near 28°C ahead of any final observational adjustments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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